Check out all of our starting pitcher rankings and other lineup selection tools here to help you make smart fantasy baseball lineup decisions. MLB betting tips for each day’s slate of games will also be added in the morning. MLB game odds are provided by ESPN BET, and all fantasy advice is geared toward ESPN 10-team leagues with standard scoring.
Note: All information is accurate as of the time of publication. For updates, including what you might have missed from last night, as well as any breaking news that might impact today’s MLB slate, be sure to check out the latest fantasy baseball news.
Jump to: Pitching notes | Hitting notes | Betting tips
Reliever depth chart
Pitchers to stream on Monday
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Ryan Bergert is only 1-1 in his 13 starts but his ERA is 2.57 with a 1.05 WHIP. He’s punched out 63 in those 65 innings, but Bergert has been a bit generous with walks and homers. Since being acquired by the Kansas City Royals at the trade deadline, he sports a 2.43 ERA and 0.99 WHIP. Bergert opens the fantasy week with a road start against a Cleveland Guardians offense averaging the fewest runs per game over the last month.
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Since the break, Yu Darvish recorded a 5.61 ERA, but his 4.16 xFIP suggests he’s an above average pitcher. His main issue is homers and on Monday, the San Diego Padres righty faces the Cincinnati Reds in Petco Park. Not only do the Reds carry the third-lowest home run rate over the past month, but they’ll also experience a steep park downgrade.
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Jose Quintana registered a quality start in four of his previous six outings, including last time out against the potent Philadelphia Phillies. The Milwaukee Brewers seek to build on MLB’s best record in Arlington against the Texas Rangers. The veteran lefty will face a depleted lineup missing Corey Seager, Marcus Semien and Adolis Garcia.
Pitchers to avoid on Monday
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Aaron Nola has struggled since missing three months with ankle and rib issues. After coming off the IL, he’s posted an 8.38 ERA and 1.50 WHIP. Meanwhile, the New York Mets lead the league in runs per game over the last month. Despite his successful track record, it’s best to avoid Nola when the Phillies host the Mets in the opener of a key NL East matchup.
Hitters to stream on Monday
Betting tips
Best/worst pitcher/hitter matchups and betting projections are generated by THE BAT X, a system created by Derek Carty using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing, and lots more. Betting projections for every player, team, and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to wager $1.00 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Because odds typically do not get set until the previous day’s games are completed, betting tips will be added in the morning.
