Is the postseason better off without the Reese-Clark storyline?
Yes and no. Yes because the worst talking heads who turn the storyline into something nastier and ugly will not be drawing the air out of WNBA discussion. No, because genuine rivalry is one of the best parts of sports, and Reese v Clark is particularly captivating. Jakub Frankowicz
Yes. Both of them have plenty of years ahead to avail themselves of the playoff stage. This year the games can stand on their own, relying less on tabloid-style fodder while highlighting the W’s depth and lifting more players into the spotlight. Bryan Armen Graham
Yes. Perhaps the only silver lining to the fact that both athletes have missed chunks of this season due to injury is that the Reese-Clark storyline is non-existent. Hopefully, that’s a trend that carries over to next year, when (presumably) both will be back on the floor in top form. Stephanie Kaloi
Not really. It certainly wouldn’t have been a real storyline given the sorry state of the Chicago Sky, who only made the playoffs last year because Teresa Witherspoon was coaching. But it does smart not have either player in the mix – especially Clark, whom you’d have to think would have lifted Indiana out of the first round given the improvement she had shown in her second season. Andrew Lawrence
Team that will be missed the most
Another year sans a playoff appearance for the Los Angeles Sparks, who have gone five years without a trip to the postseason. The shock Kelsey Plum trade brought them closer, but they still came up short. A postseason without Plum’s fiery competitiveness and long-range sharpshooting will be just a bit more dull. JF
Advertisement
The Dallas Wings. No Paige, no party. BAG
It feels strange to say because they’re dead last in the standings, but not seeing the Dallas Wings out there will hurt a little bit. The team has largely operated seemingly in chaos most of the season, and many have questioned the leadership of both their GM and head coach, but they have a lot of heart. SK
The LA Sparks looked primed for a playoff berth after kicking off the season by trading for all-star Kelsey Plum. But in the end the team couldn’t overcome injuries to Julie Allemand, Rickea Jackson and Cameron Brink – who returned to the Sparks halfway through the season after tearing her ACL last year, and was ruled out for the season after suffering a bloody nose injury on Thursday against the Aces. At full strength, this team would’ve been a tough out. AL
High seed at risk of going out early
The New York Liberty have limped into the playoffs, both figuratively and literally, having lost nearly every piece of their rotation to injury at some point. If they can’t get fully healthy and gel before their first-round matchup, look for the defending champs to head to an early exit. JF
Advertisement
The Phoenix Mercury. Their first-round draw is a stacked New York Liberty team who are finally healthy as they launch their title defense. BAG
Of the top four teams heading into playoffs, my money is on the Phoenix Mercury being the most likely to crash out unexpectedly. As solid as they were in the regular season, the other teams who earned home-court advantage – Minnesota, Atlanta and Las Vegas – are hungrier and have more to prove. SK
Am I crazy for picking Las Vegas? They haven’t lost in over a month and might well be due. Meanwhile, Seattle, where former MVP Nneka Ogwumike and six-time all-star Skylar Diggins lead the league’s fifth-best shooting outfit, only need to win twice to advance. The Storm split their four games against the Aces this season already. AL
Long shot to win
The Golden State Valkyries had a strong first season in the league, with Veronica Burton looking like a contender for Most Improved Player. But it might not be enough despite a terrific advantage on their home court, where they’ve set a record this season for the highest attendance in WNBA history. JF
Advertisement
The Seattle Storm’s playoff chances were dicey enough after a wildly inconsistent regular season. But that was before the had the misfortune of drawing a scorching-hot Las Vegas team that closed out the regular season with 16 wins on the trot. BAG
The Valkyries would face an incredibly steep battle, but their season has had a bit of magic to it. If they can get back into Ballhalla and tap into what Natalie Nakase has drilled all season, it’s not entirely unfounded to believe they could pull off the biggest surprise in league history. After all, they’ve kind of been doing that the entire time. SK
No franchise in any North American league has ever won a championship in its expansion season. The Valkyries have the absolute smallest statistical chance to do the impossible only because they beat out an injury ravaged LA squad (see above) for the final playoff spot. AL
Most important player this postseason
Alyssa Thomas has always been a jack of all trades, even before her move to Phoenix this season. But she’s taken it to another level in 2025, with a remarkable eight triple doubles. No team’s hopes ride on a single player more than the Mercury do with Thomas. JF
A’ja Wilson. No one else blends defensive dominance, scoring versatility and leadership with her consistency under pressure. She anchors Las Vegas’s defense as an elite rim protector while commanding double-teams offensively, freeing teammates to thrive. BAG
A’ja Wilson. She’s led the Aces on one if the most impactful team comebacks we’ve seen this season, is a very likely 2025 MVP and will probably end up taking the team on a deep run. She is (always, inevitably) the player to watch.. SK
Napheesa Collier. She was the most important player last year, the best end-to-end player in the game this year, and should beat A’ja Wilson to the MVP with an assist from voter fatigue. The Lynx haven’t exactly been shy about expressing how salty they still are about the way last season’s WNBA championship ended and, as ever, Phee will be key to them exacting revenge. AL
Playoff semi-finalists
Las Vegas Aces, Minnesota Lynx, New York Liberty, Phoenix Mercury JF
Advertisement
Atlanta Dream, Las Vegas Aces, New York Liberty, Minnesota Lynx BAG
Atlanta Dream, Las Vegas Aces, New York Liberty, Minnesota Lynx SK
Indiana Fever, Las Vegas Aces, Minnesota Lynx, Phoenix Mercury AL
The champion will be …
Las Vegas Aces. They’ll meet Minnesota in the finals and Becky Hammon’s red-hot side will take home a third title in four years. A couple weeks ago I would have said the Lynx, who were a questionable call away from winning in 2024 and returned their entire core. But Vegas have won 16 straight to close out the regular season with reigning MVP A’ja Wilson leading the charge. Their depth still lacks compared to the Lynx, but any matchup between the two would be electric. JF
Minnesota Lynx. Cheryl Reeve claimed her team was robbed after coming thisclose to winning it all last year and the Lynx have been on a revenge tour ever since. So far, so good. With the league’s top defense and elite three-point shooting, they can suffocate opponents on one end and punish them on the other. Napheesa Collier’s MVP-level brilliance anchors a roster that thrives on depth, ball movement and chemistry. Add in veteran poise and total buy-in to Reeve’s system and the Lynx stand as the team to beat. BAG
Minnesota Lynx. I see a Lynx-Dream Finals, a rematch of 2013 but with Atlanta stronger than ever. The Dream know how to trouble Minnesota; they handed the Lynx two of their nine defeats this year, both with and without Napheesa Collier. But this Lynx team is deeper, steadier and built for the biggest stage. Collier’s leadership and their collective poise should carry Minnesota to another championship. SK
Minnesota Lynx. I picked ‘em last year and would have been right if it hadn’t been for Alanna Smith’s controversial foul on the Liberty’s Breanna Stewart with 5.2 seconds left in Game 5. The Lynx have been on a revenge tour all season, starting strong and staying that way to lock up the top seed in the bracket. But as ever, I expect it’ll be the strategy of coach Cheryl Reeve that’ll make the difference. I simply cannot see her losing a WNBA finals series in back-to-back years. AL
