Home Tennis How Jannik Sinner’s Shanghai loss impacts year-end No. 1 battle with Carlos Alcaraz | ATP Tour

How Jannik Sinner’s Shanghai loss impacts year-end No. 1 battle with Carlos Alcaraz | ATP Tour

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PIF ATP Rankings Update

How Sinner’s Shanghai loss impacts year-end No. 1 battle with Alcaraz

Learn state of play following Italian’s third-round loss in Shanghai

October 07, 2025

Hu Chengwei/Getty Images

Jannik Sinner is the No. 2 player in the PIF ATP Live Rankings.
By ATP Staff

Jannik Sinner’s hopes of securing ATP Year-End No. 1 presented by PIF honours are dwindling.

Carlos Alcaraz is in full command of his year-end No. 1 battle with the Italian following Sinner’s retirement in the third set of his third-round match at the Rolex Shanghai Masters against Tallon Griekspoor.

Alcaraz leads Sinner by 2,540 points in the PIF ATP Live Race To Turin, which serves as a barometer for the year-end No. 1 battle. The honour is not completely out of reach for the Italian, but he will need to be close to perfect the rest of the season to have any chance.

Sinner is next scheduled to compete in Vienna before the final ATP Masters 1000 event of the season in Paris and the Nitto ATP Finals in Turin. The 24-year-old could earn a maximum 3,000 points at those events.

Alcaraz is next scheduled to play in Paris and at the Nitto ATP Finals, giving him a chance to earn 2,500 points if he does not accept a wild card into another tournament this season.

Had Sinner successfully defended the Rolex Shanghai Masters title, he would have pulled to within 1,590 points of his rival in the Live Race, putting him in position to make a charge for year-end No. 1 at the end of the season. Instead, Sinner needs to chase titles and hope that Alcaraz suffers early losses on the remainder of his schedule.

According to the Infosys ATP Win/Loss Index, Alcaraz owns a 67-7 record this season and Sinner is 43-6. The former was year-end No. 1 in 2022 and the latter in 2024.

No other player has a chance to earn ATP Year-End No. 1 presented by PIF honours.

 

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