Home Basketball Best NBA Player Prop Bets 12/11/25

Best NBA Player Prop Bets 12/11/25

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We’re back today with another exciting NBA slate featuring some of our favorite matchups here at Basketball Forever. With the help of advanced simulations and machine learning, our Basketball Forever bot has run thousands of simulations on every game to expertly pinpoint our best player prop bets for tonight.

1. SAM HAUSER OVER 2.5 3-POINTERS MADE (+145)

Odds: +145
Probability: 53.7%
Projection: 2.8
Edge: 12.9%
Game: Celtics vs Bucks (8PM EST)

The best player bet our Basketball Forever betting bot has uncovered for today’s NBA slate takes us to Milwaukee where the Celtics vs Bucks play tonight. In this game, our Basketball Forever betting bot narrowed down Sam Hauser in the total 3-pointers made prop market. Lately, Hauser has been slinging shots from the arch, putting up 3/4/2/2/1 3-pointers per game over his last five matchups. Our model is projecting Hauser to finish tonight’s game with a total of 2.8 3-pointers made, giving us confidence in this particular wager.

Our model recommends placing a wager on Sam Hauser Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made at +145 odds and an attractive 12.9% edge, making this our best player bet of the day.

2. DERIK QUEEN OVER 4.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+112)

Odds: +112
Probability: 53.5%
Projection: 5.1
Edge: 6.3%
Game: Trail Blazers vs Pelicans (8PM EST)

The next NBA player prop bet our betting bot recommends playing comes in the Trail Blazers vs Pelicans game, with Derik Queen showing value in the total assists made prop market.

So far this season Queen has been moving the ball around well, averaging 5.6 APG throughout his last 10 games. In their first matchup against the Trail Blazers this season, Queen was able to rack up a total of 4 assists, falling just one short from covering this particular number. Although Queen fell one assist short in their first matchup, our model is projecting him to finish tonight’s game with a total of 5.1 assists made, exceeding his line.

The Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Derik Queen Over 4.5 Total Assists in tonight’s game, which gives us a 6.3% edge on the +112 odds.

3. DERRICK WHITE OVER 5.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+123)

Odds: +123
Probability: 50.4%
Projection: 5.6
Edge: 5.5%
Game: Celtics vs Bucks (8PM EST)

According to our model, the last best player prop bet for today’s NBA slate also takes place in the Celtics vs Bucks game, with Derrick White showing value in the total assists made prop market.

Over the course of the 25/26 season, White has been able to average a total of 5.3 AST per game, with a 5.1 average over the last 10 games. Recently, White has exceeded this line in 2/5 of his most recent matchups, while falling one assist short of this line in three of those games, showing 5/6/9/5/5. With white showing consistency when it comes to assists along with our model projecting White to finish tonight’s game with a total of 5.6 assists made, we have a high degree of confidence on this particular wager.

Our Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Derrick White Over 5.5 Total Assists, with an edge of 5.5% at +123 odds.

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