The No. 6 Duke Blue Devils host the No. 24 SMU Mustangs in college basketball action on Saturday afternoon.
The Blue Devils are led by freshman sensation Cameron Boozer, and my SMU vs. Duke predictions are backing him to have another big game today.
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Here are my best free college basketball picks for this ACC clash on January 10.
SMU vs Duke prediction
SMU vs Duke best bet: Cameron Boozer Over 24.5 points (-110)
It’s tough to pick a side in this game with the SMU Mustangs best player Boopie Miller (20.6 ppg, 7.1 apg, 2.0 spg) questionable. So let’s take him out of the equation for our best bet.
When healthy, SMU has an excellent starting lineup, but the weak link is forward Corey Washington.
Washington isn’t a bad player, but at 6-foot-6 and 190 pounds, he’s woefully undersized for the forward position. He’ll have the unenviable task of defending Duke Blue Devils freshman Cameron Boozer, who checks in at 6-foot-9 and 250 pounds.
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The Wooden Award favorite isn’t just a big body, as he’s also extremely skilled and agile. He averages 23.3 ppg on 58% shooting and will get plenty of shots in this game with both teams preferring a speedy tempo.
Boozer has dropped 25+ points in six of his last nine games and should be able to bully SMU inside today.
SMU vs Duke same-game parlay
I’m expecting Boozer to score at will so I don’t see him deferring as much to his teammates. He’s gone below 4.5 assists in seven of his last 10 games.
Duke is 10th in the country in adjusted defense and that lockdown D makes the Under 159 a strong possibility even if Miller suits up.
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If the Mustangs top scorer and passer doesn’t play, this becomes an easy play.
SMU vs Duke SGP
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Cameron Boozer Over 24.5 points
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Cameron Boozer Under 4.5 assists
Our beyond the arc SGP: Blue Devils sink Mustangs
If Miller doesn’t play, the Blue Devils are also worth playing on the spread. They’re coming off a double-digit road win against No. 20 Louisville, while SMU has lost badly to LSU and Vanderbilt.
SMU vs Duke SGP
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Cameron Boozer Over 24.5 points
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Cameron Boozer Under 4.5 assists
SMU vs Duke odds
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Spread: SMU +13.5 | Duke -13.5
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Moneyline: SMU +700 | Duke -1100
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Over/Under: Over 159 | Under 159
SMU vs Duke betting trend to know
The Blue Devils have covered the first half spread in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+7.75 Units / 27% ROI). Find more college basketball betting trends for SMU vs. Duke.
How to watch SMU vs Duke
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Location |
Cameron Indoor Stadium, Durham, NC |
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Date |
Saturday, January 10, 2026 |
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Tip-off |
2:00 p.m. ET |
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TV |
ESPN |
SMU vs Duke key injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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