Patrick Kane’s best days are behind him, but he remains very productive at age 37, having gathered 28 points through 34 games.
He has been especially efficient against teams that bleed goals, and he has a matchup with one this afternoon. That’s why he headlines my three NHL player props for Sunday, January 18.
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Best NHL player prop bets today
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Player |
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Miro Heiskanen Over 1.5 shots on goal |
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Brandon Hagel Over 2.5 shots on goal |
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Patrick Kane Over 0.5 points |
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Our best NHL player props for Sunday, January 18
Take a look at our best bets and expert analysis below.
Prop #1: Miro Heiskanen Over 1.5 shots on goal
Miro Heiskanen has generated strong volume in Dallas all season long, averaging 2.6 shots on target per night and clearing this line at a whopping 81% clip.
He has consistently gotten the job done regardless of the level of competition. Facing stout defenses or low-event teams has made zero impact on his volume or success.
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Isolating teams ranking Top-10 in shot suppression vs. defensemen, Heiskanen has recorded multiple shots in seven of eight home games.
The only Under was a one shot performance against the Kings in which Heiskanen still generated five attempts, which is more than enough volume to clear. He was just inaccurate in that one game.
Heiskanen will play a ton of minutes while matched up against the Lightning’s best players at 5-on-5. He also continues to quarterback the top power play over Thomas Harley.
There should be plenty of chances for him to test Andrei Vasilevskiy.
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Where to watch: NHL Network
Prop #2: Brandon Hagel Over 2.5 shots on goal
The biggest beneficiary of the Brayden Point injury is undoubtedly Brandon Hagel. More falls on his plate at 5-on-5 and he also takes on Point’s role playing on the No. 1 power play unit.
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To say it’s made a difference in his shot volume would be an understatement.
Hagel has averaged 2.7 shots and 6.1 attempts per game with Point in the lineup while clearing his line at a 57% clip. Very solid but unspectacular numbers.
Those outputs go up several levels without Point. Hagel has produced a whopping 3.9 shots on 8.2 attempts per game, going Over 2.5 shots in eight of nine.
Hagel attempted 6+ shots in every single one of those games. For reference, his hit rate sits at 80% this season — with or without Point — when generating 6+ attempts, which has been the floor thus far.
Expect Hagel to continue firing away Sunday afternoon.
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Where to watch: NHL Network
Prop #3: Patrick Kane Over 0.5 points
The Ottawa Senators can’t keep the puck out of their net. They just can’t. It doesn’t seem to matter how many shots or chances they give up — whoever is between the pipes continues bleeding goals.
That’s why they rank 29th in goals against per game despite sitting third in expected goals allowed, behind only the Colorado Avalanche and Vegas Golden Knights.
As you’d expect from a team giving up goals in bulk, the Senators allow a lot of production to opposing right wingers. The fourth-most, in fact.
Patrick Kane has produced at a high clip in similar matchups this season. He has points in eight of 11 games against teams ranking Bottom-10 in points allowed to right wingers, including seven of eight on home soil.
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Ottawa is in a road back-to-back with 37-year-old journeyman James Reimer expected to get his first taste of action this season. This is not a spot where the goals should stop flowing.
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Where to watch: RDS2, FDSN DET
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here
