Most interesting MLB player projections for 2026

nn”,”providerName”:”Twitter”,”providerUrl”:”https://twitter.com”,”thumbnail_url”:null,”type”:”oembed”,”width”:550,”contentType”:”rich”},{“__typename”:”Markdown”,”content”:”**7) Gunnar Henderson and Pete Alonso are a star duo in Baltimore** n*Henderson’s projections: 27 HR, 21 SB, 88 RBIs, .846 OPS, 5.7 WAR nAlonso’s projections: 35 HR, 101 RBIs, .831 OPS*nnThere would be two big developments in Baltimore if the Steamer projections are on track: Henderson would bounce back to being a top-five player in the big leagues, and the Alonso signing would pay off exactly like the O’s wanted.nnHenderson’s 5.7 WAR projection is the fourth-highest for a position player, behind only Judge, Witt and Raleigh, with Steamer expecting a great all-around offensive year and strong play at shortstop. Alonso, meanwhile, is projected for 35 homers and over 100 RBIs — the only other player with a 100-plus RBI projection is Judge. If Alonso is driving in Henderson all season, the Orioles offense could be a real powerhouse.”,”type”:”text”},{“__typename”:”Video”,”contentDate”:”2025-12-10T17:55:00Z”,”preferredPlaybackScenarioURL({“preferredPlaybacks”:”mp4AvcPlayback”})”:”https://mlb-cuts-diamond.mlb.com/FORGE/2025/2025-11/04/37d5e653-f18f7c57-93c1b3b9-csvm-diamondgcp-asset_1280x720_59_4000K.mp4″,”type”:”video”,”description”:”After hitting 38 homers and driving in 126 runs with the Mets in 2025, Pete Alonso is reportedly signing a five-year deal with the Orioles”,”displayAsVideoGif”:false,”duration”:”00:00:30″,”slug”:”pete-alonso-to-finalize-five-year-deal-with-orioles”,”tags”:[{“__typename”:”PersonTag”,”slug”:”playerid-624413″,”title”:”Pete Alonso”,”person”:{“__ref”:”Person:624413″},”type”:”player”},{“__typename”:”TaxonomyTag”,”slug”:”vod”,”title”:”vod”,”type”:”taxonomy”},{“__typename”:”TaxonomyTag”,”slug”:”imagen-feed”,”title”:”Imagen feed”,”type”:”taxonomy”},{“__typename”:”TeamTag”,”slug”:”teamid-110″,”title”:”Baltimore Orioles”,”team”:{“__ref”:”Team:110″},”type”:”team”},{“__typename”:”TaxonomyTag”,”slug”:”trades”,”title”:”trades”,”type”:”taxonomy”},{“__typename”:”TaxonomyTag”,”slug”:”transactions”,”title”:”transactions”,”type”:”taxonomy”},{“__typename”:”TaxonomyTag”,”slug”:”winter-meetings”,”title”:”Winter Meetings”,”type”:”taxonomy”}],”thumbnail”:{“__typename”:”Thumbnail”,”templateUrl”:”https://img.mlbstatic.com/mlb-images/image/upload/{formatInstructions}/mlb/nmjv5yzyrrv2qxxwn0hz”},”title”:”Pete Alonso to finalize five-year deal with Orioles”,”relativeSiteUrl”:”/video/pete-alonso-to-finalize-five-year-deal-with-orioles”},{“__typename”:”Markdown”,”content”:”**8) Believe in Spencer Strider and Shane McClanahan** n*Strider’s projections: 28 starts, 161 IP, 3.83 ERA, 187 K, 10.5 K/9 nMcClanahan’s projections: 24 starts, 142 1/3 IP, 3.57 ERA, 154 K, 9.7 K/9*nnStrider and McClanahan were two of the most dominant young pitchers in the Majors a few years ago, but both have been derailed by injuries since. Strider returned from elbow surgery in 2025 but had a rocky season (4.45 ERA), while McClanahan hasn’t pitched in two years due to a combination of Tommy John surgery and a nerve issue in his left triceps. So there are a lot of questions for the Braves’ and Rays’ former aces entering 2026. But Steamer projects both pitchers for a strong season. As overpowering as Strider and McClanahan can be at their best, if they hit those numbers, they’d put a lot of those questions to rest.”,”type”:”text”},{“__typename”:”OEmbed”,”html”:”

Spencer Strider, 98mph ⛽️ pic.twitter.com/7G9T0EYpJg

— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) June 14, 2025

nnn”,”providerName”:”Twitter”,”providerUrl”:”https://twitter.com”,”thumbnail_url”:null,”type”:”oembed”,”width”:550,”contentType”:”rich”},{“__typename”:”Markdown”,”content”:”**9) Kyle Tucker and Alex Bregman are different but equal** n*Tucker’s projections: 27 HR, 18 SB, 82 RBIs, 139 wRC+, 3.9 WAR nBregman’s projections: 23 HR, 77 RBIs, 121 wRC+, 3.8 WAR*nnTucker was the marquee signing of the offseason, joining an already star-studded Dodgers team. Bregman was brought in by the Cubs to help replace Tucker, and he’s a star hitter himself. So what do the projections say about the two former Astros teammates? That Tucker and Bregman will be essentially the same level of impact player for their new teams.nnDespite being very different types of players, Tucker and Bregman are back to back in Steamer’s WAR projections. Tucker’s skill is pure hitting — he’s projected to be a top-10 bat in the Majors by his 139 wRC+. But Bregman is also a good bat, with a 121 wRC+ projection, and his solid defense at third base makes up the gap.”,”type”:”text”},{“__typename”:”Markdown”,”content”:”**10) 200 K’s for … Nick Pivetta?** n*Pivetta’s projections: 31 starts, 183 2/3 IP, 202 K*nnThere are 10 pitchers projected for 200-plus strikeouts in 2026. Nine are the type of overpowering aces you’d expect to see: Skubal, Crochet, Paul Skenes, Hunter Greene, Dylan Cease, Cole Ragans, Chris Sale, deGrom and Hunter Brown. But the 10th? That’s Pivetta, who Steamer thinks will build on his career year for the Padres in 2025 by reaching the 200-K milestone for the first time in 10 MLB seasons in 2026.”,”type”:”text”},{“__typename”:”OEmbed”,”html”:”

Nick Pivetta, Dirty 79mph Curveball…and Sword. ⚔️ pic.twitter.com/kPd6X5Ayec

— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) June 25, 2025

nnn”,”providerName”:”Twitter”,”providerUrl”:”https://twitter.com”,”thumbnail_url”:null,”type”:”oembed”,”width”:550,”contentType”:”rich”},{“__typename”:”Markdown”,”content”:”**11) Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Yordan Alvarez have elite contact and power** n*Guerrero’s projections: .299 BA, .532 SLG, .954 OPS, 32 HR, 153 wRC+ nAlvarez’s projections: .299 BA, .558 SLG, .917 OPS, 30 HR, 161 wRC+*nnThe home run king favorites by Steamer’s projections are Ohtani and Judge. The batting title favorites are Luis Arraez and Jacob Wilson. But Yordan and Vlad Jr. give you the best of both worlds.nnAlvarez, who was limited to just 48 games in 2025 by hand and ankle injuries, should be one of the most fearsome hitters in the league once again in 2026. The Astros slugger is projected to be the third-best all-around hitter in the Majors by wRC+, trailing only Judge and Juan Soto. Guerrero, who was good for the Blue Jays during the 2025 regular season but beyond great in the playoffs, is projected to keep that scorching hot postseason run going in 2026 as the fifth-best hitter in the bigs.”,”type”:”text”},{“__typename”:”Markdown”,”content”:”**12) Kyle Bradish is a top-25 pitcher** n*Bradish’s projections: 28 starts, 158 IP, 3.71 ERA, 166 K, 3.1 WAR*nnBradish was terrific over a very small sample in 2025 — he had a 2.53 ERA and 47 K’s in 32 innings in six starts in his return from Tommy John surgery. Is he really that good? Can he have another season like his 2023 breakout, when he finished fourth in AL Cy Young voting? Bradish hasn’t pitched a full season since then, but the Steamer projections like him to repeat his success this season. Bradish’s WAR projection is to be a top-25 pitcher in the Majors, which stands out considering the other names around him.”,”type”:”text”},{“__typename”:”OEmbed”,”html”:”

Kyle Bradish, Disgusting Sliders. 🤮 pic.twitter.com/0IobvZHTEY

— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) September 21, 2025

nnn”,”providerName”:”Twitter”,”providerUrl”:”https://twitter.com”,”thumbnail_url”:null,”type”:”oembed”,”width”:550,”contentType”:”rich”},{“__typename”:”Markdown”,”content”:”**13) Mason Miller‘s strikeout numbers are ridiculous** n*Miller’s projections: 66 games, 2.38 ERA, 105 K, 14.3 K/9, 39.8% K%*nnThe Padres fireman might be the most sheerly overpowering pitcher in the big leagues today — just look at Miller’s record-setting 104.5 mph strikeout last postseason as example No. 1. And when it comes to the projections for the 2026 season, Miller is really in a league of his own.nnMiller has the lowest projected ERA of any pitcher by a wide margin (Phillies closer Jhoan Duran is next-best at 2.79), and the highest strikeout rate stats by an equally wide margin. Miller is projected to strike out over 14 batters per nine innings, and nearly 40% of the batters he faces. That’s well ahead of even MLB’s other elite relievers like Aroldis Chapman (12.5 K/9, 33.7% strikeout rate) and Edwin Díaz (12.4 K/9, 33.8% strikeout rate).”,”type”:”text”}],”relativeSiteUrl”:”/news/most-interesting-mlb-player-projections-for-2026″,”contentType”:”news”,”subHeadline”:null,”summary”:”Before every season, we like to peruse the various player projections for stat lines that stand out.nLet’s take a look at some of the most interesting ones for 2026, using the Steamer projections hosted at FanGraphs — one of the chief baseball projection systems.nObviously, players like Aaron Judge”,”tagline({“formatString”:”none”})”:null,”tags”:[{“__typename”:”InternalTag”,”slug”:”storytype-article”,”title”:”Article”,”type”:”article”},{“__typename”:”ContributorTag”,”slug”:”david-adler”,”title”:”David Adler”,”type”:”contributor”},{“__typename”:”TaxonomyTag”,”slug”:”apple-news”,”title”:”Apple News”,”type”:”taxonomy”},{“__typename”:”TaxonomyTag”,”slug”:”savant”,”title”:”savant”,”type”:”taxonomy”},{“__typename”:”PersonTag”,”slug”:”playerid-660670″,”title”:”Ronald Acuna Jr.”,”person”:{“__ref”:”Person:660670″},”type”:”player”},{“__typename”:”PersonTag”,”slug”:”playerid-663728″,”title”:”Cal Raleigh”,”person”:{“__ref”:”Person:663728″},”type”:”player”},{“__typename”:”PersonTag”,”slug”:”playerid-677594″,”title”:”Julio Rodríguez”,”person”:{“__ref”:”Person:677594″},”type”:”player”},{“__typename”:”PersonTag”,”slug”:”playerid-808959″,”title”:”Munetaka Murakami”,”person”:{“__ref”:”Person:808959″},”type”:”player”},{“__typename”:”PersonTag”,”slug”:”playerid-594798″,”title”:”Jacob deGrom”,”person”:{“__ref”:”Person:594798″},”type”:”player”},{“__typename”:”PersonTag”,”slug”:”playerid-701762″,”title”:”Nick Kurtz”,”person”:{“__ref”:”Person:701762″},”type”:”player”},{“__typename”:”PersonTag”,”slug”:”playerid-691406″,”title”:”Junior Caminero”,”person”:{“__ref”:”Person:691406″},”type”:”player”},{“__typename”:”PersonTag”,”slug”:”playerid-669373″,”title”:”Tarik Skubal”,”person”:{“__ref”:”Person:669373″},”type”:”player”},{“__typename”:”PersonTag”,”slug”:”playerid-676979″,”title”:”Garrett Crochet”,”person”:{“__ref”:”Person:676979″},”type”:”player”},{“__typename”:”PersonTag”,”slug”:”playerid-683002″,”title”:”Gunnar Henderson”,”person”:{“__ref”:”Person:683002″},”type”:”player”},{“__typename”:”PersonTag”,”slug”:”playerid-624413″,”title”:”Pete Alonso”,”person”:{“__ref”:”Person:624413″},”type”:”player”},{“__typename”:”PersonTag”,”slug”:”playerid-675911″,”title”:”Spencer Strider”,”person”:{“__ref”:”Person:675911″},”type”:”player”},{“__typename”:”PersonTag”,”slug”:”playerid-663556″,”title”:”Shane McClanahan”,”person”:{“__ref”:”Person:663556″},”type”:”player”},{“__typename”:”PersonTag”,”slug”:”playerid-663656″,”title”:”Kyle Tucker”,”person”:{“__ref”:”Person:663656″},”type”:”player”},{“__typename”:”PersonTag”,”slug”:”playerid-608324″,”title”:”Alex Bregman”,”person”:{“__ref”:”Person:608324″},”type”:”player”},{“__typename”:”PersonTag”,”slug”:”playerid-601713″,”title”:”Nick Pivetta”,”person”:{“__ref”:”Person:601713″},”type”:”player”},{“__typename”:”PersonTag”,”slug”:”playerid-665489″,”title”:”Vladimir Guerrero Jr.”,”person”:{“__ref”:”Person:665489″},”type”:”player”},{“__typename”:”PersonTag”,”slug”:”playerid-670541″,”title”:”Yordan Alvarez”,”person”:{“__ref”:”Person:670541″},”type”:”player”},{“__typename”:”PersonTag”,”slug”:”playerid-680694″,”title”:”Kyle Bradish”,”person”:{“__ref”:”Person:680694″},”type”:”player”},{“__typename”:”PersonTag”,”slug”:”playerid-695243″,”title”:”Mason Miller”,”person”:{“__ref”:”Person:695243″},”type”:”player”}],”type”:”story”,”thumbnail”:”https://img.mlbstatic.com/mlb-images/image/upload/{formatInstructions}/mlb/qnnlobnayeouv6l9w1pw”,”title”:”Most interesting MLB player projections for 2026″},”getHeaderFromForgePath({“contentSource”:”MLB”,”headerPath”:”/_navs/header/mlb/global-nav”,”locale”:”en-US”,”paletteKey”:”mlb-base-palette”,”propertiesKey”:”mlb-global-properties”})”:{“__typename”:”Header”,”navigation”:[{“__typename”:”NavItem”,”customPropertiesString”:”align:right;”,”icon”:null,”linkTarget”:null,”linkText”:”MLB.TV”,”linkUrl”:”https://www.mlb.com/tv?&affiliateId=mlbMENUtv”,”placement”:”right”,”visible”:”true”,”subNav”:[{“__typename”:”SubnavColumn”,”title”:null,”navigation”:[{“__typename”:”NavItem”,”placement”:null,”linkText”:”Buy MLB.TV”,”linkUrl”:”/live-stream-games/subscribe?&affiliateId=mlbMENUtv”,”linkTarget”:null,”visible”:”true”,”icon”:null,”tooltip”:null,”customPropertiesString”:null},{“__typename”:”NavItem”,”placement”:null,”linkText”:”Buy At 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