Author’s Note: I meant to post this before the second half tipped off on Thursday night, but my wifi crashed on Wednesday night, so I had to delay until I fixed that mess. Apologies, but cut me some slack — I only spend a million hours per year on this stupid low-major league.
We’re at the halfway point of the America East conference season, and I wanted to do some sort of reflection on the first half.
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After much meditation, I tweeted this:
And it got me thinking even more about potential awards, and the type of story they’ve told over the past five weeks. So, I figured I’d scribble out my thoughts on these virtual pages for you all to see, interact with, and get enraged about.
Let’s dive into the Mid-Season America East All-Conference awards — with many of these far from decided.
All-Conference First Team
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G Sebastian Robinson, NJIT
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F Angel Montas, UMass Lowell
Hurley, Yalden, and Montas are locks.
You could make the argument against Lindsey, given that some of the advanced metrics don’t see him so favorably. But the basic, boxscore numbers are insane, as he’s averaging 18/5 in conference play. Plus, the Danes’ NET rating is an absurd 33 points higher with Lindsey on the court than without. There’s also this:
That is insane usage. What a workhorse.
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At this point, SebRob is playing at too high a level to leave him off the list. He’s turning into the most consistent, explosive on-ball scorer in the AmEast for one of the first-place squads — he ranks second among all players in scoring since conference play started (19.3 PPG).
All-Conference Second Team
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G Jeremiah Quigley, Binghamton
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F Austin Green, UMass Lowell
Among this group, Armstrong has the strongest argument for first-team status. He’s one of two AmEast players with a positive OBPR and DBPR. He’s been the steadiest two-way perimeter force for one of the league’s most explosive offenses and best dribble defenses. There’s also this:
But I ultimately left him off because he’s not single-handedly carrying his team like many of the first-team guys, as the Retriever guards really need to be talked about together.
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While Biel has tailed off lately, he’s looked too dominant at times to leave him off the second-team list. During the early conference season, he was essentially single-handedly keeping the Bears in games, which is why he has the second-highest on-off net rating among AmEast players (+41.8). The box scores also look good, as he’s averaging 15/5 with nearly two blocks per game.
Jeremiah Quigley might play for a pathetic Binghamton team, but he’s been a hero. He often looks like the best pure point guard in the conference, hence why he leads the AmEast in assists (nearly seven per game).
I may be too high on Ebonkoli and Green, but my cases are as follows:
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The River Hawks run so much through Green as one of the primary big men in Pat Duquette’s forward-heavy flex-adjacent offense. While there’s plenty around him, he’s been a main catalyst for a good offense, specifically with his conference-leading three offensive rebounds per game.
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Ebonkoli is, bar none, the best defensive player in the conference. NJIT has looked like a totally different animal when he’s anchoring the Highlanders’ shell defense, and he’s been a half-decent offensive player with his high-low, post-up, and second-chance actions.
All-Conference Third Team
Locks:
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F Belal El Shakery, New Hampshire
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F Timofei Rudovskii, Bryant
Maybes:
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G Xavier Spencer, UMass Lowell
Regarding the locks:
Shakery is easily the conference’s best rebounder, and he’s a really high-usage post threat for a super post-heavy offense. He’s also a menace on defense, anchoring a half-decent Wildcats unit with over two stocks per game.
Rudovskii leads Bryant in scoring, and he’s an absolute joy to watch as a 6-foot-9 big man who can shot-create with the best of them. The maybes are basically a group of guys who could all earn an All-Conference nod. I don’t even know how I’d rank them, but I’ll give it a go anyway:
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Spencer: He’s been Lowell’s best guard and an absolute weapon in transition for an up-tempo attack.
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Bolden: Elite shot-maker. Records over two steals per game.
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Matulu: Elite rebounder. Scores at a crazy-efficient clip playing as an off-ball wing alongside Lindsey. Always seems to be in the right spot and makes the right play — probably the best player among the Danes’ uber-deep wing corps.
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Davis: Electric microwave scorer who has picked up the pace recently. Likely the only consistent offensive option for Bryant outside of Rudovskii.
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Valentine: The UMBC guards all need to be talked about together, but Ace is the primary ball-handler and leads the penetrate-and-kick offense in assists.
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Blake: Still has that explosive first step off the bounce, and he’s the conference’s third-best assist man. But he’s also improved as a shooter and defender. He’s the other player with a positive OBPR and DBPR mark.
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King: The UMBC guards all need to be talked about together. Despite King often being the top option and scorer, many of his buckets feel empty, mostly driven by usage and volume. He’s also the worst defender of the three. I think I have to leave him off any All-Conference mentions, as important as he is to the Retreivers.
All-Defense Team
Locks:
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F Belal El Shakery, New Hampshire
Maybes:
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G Tyler Bike, New Hampshire
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F Okechukwu Okeke, Albany
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F Shawn Simmons, UMass Lowell
Ebonkoli and Shakery are locks.
Chris Markwood’s Bears have still been one of the league’s best defenses, and it’s primarily thanks to Biel’s weak-side athleticism and Carey’s on-ball pestering (Carey leads the league in steals). I think they both deserve a shout here.
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Here’s a case for each of the maybes:
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Allen: When he was healthy, his athleticism was mostly leveraged on the defensive end of the floor, where he recorded a Hakeem rate over 10%. Bryant’s defense has also started to lag since he got hurt.
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Armstrong: UMBC has posted the AmEast second-best defensive rating during conference play, and that’s primarily thanks to the Retreivers’ elite dribble defense, where Armstrong acts as the head of the snake. However, it really is a team effort from Jim Ferry’s group.
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Bike: The metrics for Bike are staggering. He leads the league in DRAPM while ranking sixth in DBPR. Among the best ball-screen coverage guys in the league (.53 PPP allowed, 90th percentile, best among AE defenders with at least 30 possessions). Despite his size
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Barnett: When he’s healthy, he’s easily Vermont’s most physical, impactful defender, and the Catamounts’ questionable stop unit still leads the league in defensive efficiency during conference play.
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Okeke: Simply a monster interior defender.
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Simmons: Leads the league in blocks. Unfortunately, the River Hawks don’t play great defense — or any defense at all, for that matter.
All-Rookie Team
Locks:
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G Tyler Bike, New Hampshire
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F Timofei Rudovskii, Bryant
Maybes:
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F JJ Massaquoi, UMass Lowell
It’s pretty clear to most that Bolden and Rudovskii have been the league’s two best rookies this season.
However, I think Bike needs to be part of that conversation. I mentioned his defensive impact above, but he’s also scored in double digits in four of the past five games and is shooting 45% from deep in conference play. He’s also a little 5-foot-10 speedster who plays hard as hell.
Regarding the questionables, you basically have four names for two spots.
If Mari continues his upward trend as a catch-and-shoot, off-ball scorer and defender, he’ll easily make the list. On the contrary, Massaquoi started the season hot but has been a disaster since, with the second-worst on/off net rating in the conference (-17.7).
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Among the AmEast frosh class, nobody has played more minutes than Sims’ 35 per game. The stats aren’t gaudy, but he eats up six boards a night, moves the ball OK, and defends fine. All in all, he’s had a positive impact on decently high volume.
Flagg’s defensive impact has been felt (1.5 steals per game, and the metrics love him), and he has started to trend up offensively in recent weeks since Keelan Steele was injured.
If I had to pick two names from this list, I’d pick Mari and Sims.
Awards
Conference Player of the Year:
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F Angel Montas, UMass Lowell
I don’t think there’s a wrong answer. Let me give you the case for each.
TJ: He’s the conference’s most consistent two-way player for arguably the conference’s best team. He’s an impossibly tough shot maker, a great ball-screen/DHO initiator (his two-man game with Yalden is electric), and a very effective perimeter defender for a vulnerable perimeter defense — and he does it all night in and night out. The most underrated part of his game is how much stronger he’s gotten over the past few years, which has helped him on dribble drives while simultaneously opening up his perimeter jumper. There’s also this:
Yalden: On a per-possession basis, there is no more dominant player in the conference. He leads the league in usage rate (34%) when he’s on the court, averaging 21 points and four assists per 40 minutes. His back-down, right-handed scoop layup is basically impossible to stop, and he’s an absolutely electric passer out of the post, which has neutralized opposing post doubles while unlocking John Becker’s inside-out offense. His deficiencies? He can only play 25 minutes a night due to cramping issues, and he’s a cone on defense.
Montas: He leads the conference in scoring during league play (20 PPG) while also grabbing over six boards a night. He’s an uber-efficient scorer on the court, both in the half-court and in transition. He has a real chance to win this award, especially if Yalden and Hurley split votes, but Lowell has to win more games, and it’d help if he played any defense at all.
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Conference Defensive Player of the Year:
No question. Next.
Conference Rookie of the Year:
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F Timofei Rudovskii, Bryant
You can really pick either of these guys for this award. Both put together legitimately jaw-dropping performances every time they step on the floor.
That said, I think you have to give the award to Bolden. He’s been a slightly more impactful player for a far better team.
Conference Newcomer of the Year:
I’m not even going to attempt to break this one down, given that half the league are newcomers.
I guess you give this award to either Yalden or Montas if neither wins CPOY.
Conference Sixth Man of the Year:
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F Comeh Emuobor, New Hampshire
All the Retreiver wings have had breakout seasons, but Diggs has been the most impactful one without starting a game. He’s averaging double-digits scoring off the bench and has been a pillar of UMBC’s elite dribble defense (.57 PNR PPP allowed, 92nd percentile). If I were a voter, Diggs is likely getting my vote.
That said, I want to shout out Emuobor just because of his insane usage off the bench. New Hampshire runs everything through the post on offense, and when Shakery isn’t on the court, Emuobor is posting up with a 32% usage rate, the second-highest in the conference. He may not be the most efficient player in the world, but he simply muscles his way to 21 points and four offensive rebounds per 40 minutes.
Conference Coach of the Year:
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No competition. What Billmeier has done with these perennial cellar-dwellers has been nothing short of remarkable.
Mid-Season Power Ratings
|
Team (Conf. Record) |
Net Rating |
Offensive Rating |
Defensive Rating |
|
Vermont (6-2) |
-5.01 |
107.66 |
112.67 |
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UMBC (6-2) |
-8.57 |
103.75 |
112.32 |
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New Hampshire (4-4) |
-13.89 |
98.54 |
112.44 |
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Albany (3-5) |
-14.35 |
101.69 |
116.04 |
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UMass Lowell (4-4) |
-15.66 |
100.58 |
116.24 |
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NJIT (6-2) |
-16.57 |
98.22 |
114.78 |
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Bryant (3-5) |
-20.28 |
96.67 |
116.96 |
|
Maine (3-5) |
-20.82 |
91.55 |
112.38 |
|
Binghamton (1-7) |
-25.50 |
95.96 |
121.46 |
Some notes from the first half of conference play:
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Bryant’s defense has fallen off a cliff. The Bulldogs rank dead last in the conference in defensive efficiency during league play (110.7). While opponents have been shooting over their heads from 3, the Bulldogs aren’t rebounding much, and they’re fouling too much. I thought Jamion Christian’s defense was the bright spot of the early season, but it’s looking bleaker by the day, and the offense needs to keep improving, or this potentially lost season will just get uglier.
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Ho hum, Vermont leads the league in defensive efficiency during conference play (100.4). For all of my criticisms of the Catamounts’ defense for most of the season, they’ve turned up the interior defense, now leading the league in 2-point shooting allowed (45%). Once they find their rhythm in Becker’s conservative, switching man-to-man, things tend to start heading up. Noah Barnett’s return helps a lot.
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UMBC and Maine both have legit defenses, especially against the dribble. However, I wonder if both are slightly overrated, given that, during conference play, the Bears and Retrievers are the top two defenses in 3-point shooting allowed and the bottom two in 2-point shooting allowed. Conference opponents aren’t going to shoot 27% from deep against the Bears in the second half.
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NJIT leads the AmEast in offensive efficiency during conference play (112.4), which is incredible. I think the Highlanders will trend down slightly in the second half, given they’re shooting a ridiculous 35% from deep (first) but just 48% from inside the arc (seventh). That said, they have shot-makers all over the place, and they all orbit SebRob’s insane dribble-drive ability.
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I still think UMBC is the league’s best offense. During conference play, the Retrievers lead the league in effective field goal percentage (53%), turnover rate (11%), free-throw rate (40%), and free-throw shooting (80%).