“,”providerName”:”Bluesky Social”,”providerUrl”:”https://bsky.app”,”thumbnail_url”:null,”type”:”oembed”,”width”:600,”contentType”:”rich”},{“__typename”:”Markdown”,”content”:”Here’s the trick, though: For all the talk about what happens *outside* the zone, Harper’s performance on pitches *inside* the zone was weaker than it had been [since 2016](https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/statcast_search?hfPT=&hfAB=&hfGT=R%7C&hfPR=foul%7Cfoul%5C.%5C.bunt%7Cbunt%5C.%5C.foul%5C.%5C.tip%7Cfoul%5C.%5C.pitchout%7Chit%5C.%5C.into%5C.%5C.play%7Cmissed%5C.%5C.bunt%7Cfoul%5C.%5C.tip%7Cswinging%5C.%5C.pitchout%7Cswinging%5C.%5C.strike%7Cswinging%5C.%5C.strike%5C.%5C.blocked%7C&hfZ=1%7C2%7C3%7C4%7C5%7C6%7C7%7C8%7C9%7C&hfStadium=&hfBBL=&hfNewZones=&hfPull=&hfC=&hfSea=2025%7C2024%7C2023%7C2022%7C2021%7C2020%7C2019%7C2018%7C2017%7C2016%7C2015%7C2014%7C2013%7C2012%7C2011%7C2010%7C2009%7C2008%7C&hfSit=&player_type=batter&hfOuts=&home_road=&pitcher_throws=&batter_stands=&hfSA=&hfEventOuts=&hfEventRuns=&game_date_gt=&game_date_lt=&hfMo=&hfTeam=&hfOpponent=&hfRO=&position=&hfInfield=&hfOutfield=&hfInn=&hfBBT=&batters_lookup%5B%5D=547180&hfFlag=&metric_1=&group_by=team-year&min_pitches=0&min_results=0&min_pas=0&sort_col=woba&player_event_sort=api_p_release_speed&sort_order=desc&chk_stats_abs=on&chk_stats_hits=on&chk_stats_hrs=on&chk_stats_ba=on&chk_stats_obp=on&chk_stats_slg=on&chk_stats_woba=on#results). That, again, was still well above the Major League average, because he’s still a very good hitter.nn“A good pitch to hit” isn’t always the same thing as “a pitch in the strike zone,” though it’s a decent proxy, but some of this simply comes down to “do damage when you get that pitch.””,”type”:”text”},{“__typename”:”Markdown”,”content”:”**Is this just what it looks like when you’ve been in the Majors for 14 seasons?**nnOh, well … kind of, yes.nnRick Ankiel [was Harper’s center fielder](https://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/LAN/LAN201204280.shtml) the day he debuted, against a Dodgers team that started Chad Billingsley on the mound. It’s been a long time, is the point, and if we look at a fancier Statcast metric like expected wOBA, which looks at quality of contact as well as quantity of contact, well, that’s sort of the shape you’d expect to see. Giving 2020 the appropriate grain of salt for how short it was, that was also his age-27 season, long considered at or near a hitter’s peak. No one stays great forever, not even the greats.”,”type”:”text”},{“__typename”:”Image”,”caption”:null,”contextualCaption”:null,”contextualAspectRatio”:null,”credit”:null,”contentType”:null,”format”:”png”,”templateUrl”:”https://img.mlbstatic.com/mlb-images/image/upload/{formatInstructions}/mlb/i9g3sbdj3o3ttbitjzas”,”type”:”image”},{“__typename”:”Markdown”,”content”:”**So can he be elite again in 2026?**nnWell, sure. We’re talking about a hitter coming off a really good season, or a great season for most hitters. The core measurable skills are all there. A little less chase here, a little more damage on hittable pitches there, and we’re not that far away from another Extremely Good Harper season, even if it gets a little less likely each year that we’ll ever see MVP Harper again.nnThe current projections, for example, roundly expect Harper to hit 30-to-35% better than average in 2026. It would be his 10th consecutive outstanding year. If this is the beginning of the end, we should all be so lucky. It might take a while to get here.”,”type”:”text”}],”relativeSiteUrl”:”/news/bryce-harper-2026-outlook”,”contentType”:”news”,”subHeadline”:””,”summary”:”Bryce Harper “had a very good year … I don’t think he had an elite year,” said Phillies president of baseball operations Dave Dombrowski earlier this winter.nWhile Dombrowski wasn’t really incorrect in that statement – Harper did hit 27 homers, but failed to earn a place either on an”,”tagline({“formatString”:”none”})”:null,”tags”:[{“__typename”:”InternalTag”,”slug”:”storytype-article”,”title”:”Article”,”type”:”article”},{“__typename”:”PersonTag”,”slug”:”playerid-547180″,”title”:”Bryce Harper”,”person”:{“__ref”:”Person:547180″},”type”:”player”},{“__typename”:”ContributorTag”,”slug”:”mike-petriello”,”title”:”Mike 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January 17th, 2026
