It’s officially game week, and in just six days, Michigan football will kick off the 2025 season, starting with a home game against New Mexico at The Big House.
But with Week 0 in the books, we’re starting to learn what the analytics say (at least in the preseason) about which teams are expected to be favorites and which are anticipated as underdogs. With that in mind, the ESPN FPI predictor is now live for each and every Michigan football game, sharing an early look at what might be each week.
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Here is what ESPN FPI says about each of the Wolverines‘ games, along with the percentage indicating the maize and blue’s chances to win each game.
Week 1 – New Mexico
Sherrone Moore before the Fresno State game
ESPN FPI predicts: Michigan win
Chances of winning: 97.5%
Week 2 – at Oklahoma
Oklahoma Sooners defensive back Kendel Dolby (15) celebrates after an OU fumble recovery during a college football game between the University of Oklahoma Sooners (OU) and the Tennessee Volunteers at Gaylord Family – Oklahoma Memorial Stadium in Norman, Okla., Saturday, Sept. 21, 2024.
ESPN FPI predicts: Michigan win
Chances of winning: 51.8%
Week 3 – Central Michigan
Bryce Underwood
ESPN FPI predicts: Michigan win
Chances of winning: 97.0%
Week 4 – at Nebraska
Photo: Isaiah Hole
ESPN FPI predicts: Michigan win
Chances of winning: 59.0%
Week 6 – Wisconsin
Photo: Isaiah Hole
ESPN FPI predicts: Michigan win
Chances of winning: 76.9%
Week 7 – at USC
Miller Moss in his own endzone vs Michigan
ESPN FPI predicts: Michigan loss
Chances of winning: 34.7%
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Week 8 – Washington
Jack Tuttle prepares to throw a TD vs Washington
ESPN FPI predicts: Michigan win
Chances of winning: 78.2%
Week 9 – at Michigan State
MSU Spartans head coach Jonathan Smith
ESPN FPI predicts: Michigan win
Chances of winning: 79.7%
Week 10 – Purdue
Michigan touches the banner before Arkansas State
ESPN FPI predicts: Michigan win
Chances of winning: 94.6%
Week 12 – at Northwestern
Photo: Isaiah Hole
ESPN FPI predicts: Michigan win
Chances of winning: 82.9%
Week 13 – at Maryland
Photo: Isaiah Hole
ESPN FPI predicts: Michigan win
Chances of winning: 79.0%
Week 14 – Ohio State
Michigan football S Rod Moore
ESPN FPI predicts: Michigan loss
Chances of winning: 36.9%
Predicted finish
ESPN FPI has the Wolverines losing two games — at USC and in the regular season finale against Ohio State (such has been the case in each of the past four years). Still, ESPN FPI does predict wins at Oklahoma and at Nebraska (a game where Sherrone Moore will be suspended).
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With that in mind, the final record, according to the preseason prediction here, is 10-2.
This article originally appeared on Wolverines Wire: ESPN FPI predicts Michigan football’s 2025 game-by-game outcomes
