Both the Alabama Crimson Tide and Missouri Tigers have to be feeling pretty confident as they head into their Week 7 SEC football showdown at Faurot Field in Columbia.
Alabama rallied from a 14-7 deficit to score 23 unanswered points in its 30-23 win over the Vanderbilt Commodores in last Saturday’s top 25 showdown at Bryant-Denny Stadium. Ty Simpson had another big game for the Crimson Tide, throwing for 340 yards and two touchdowns on 23-of-31 passes.
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The defense forced two Diego Pavia turnovers in the red zone and pitched a second-half shutout. Alabama (4-1 overall, 2-0 SEC) rose three spots to No. 8 in this week’s US LBM Coaches Poll.
The schedule doesn’t get any easier for coach Kalen DeBoer’s team with a trip to Columbia and another top 25 opponent on hand in Missouri (5-0, 1-0). The Tigers are coming off a bye in Week 6 and are ranked No. 14 in the polls, up five spots from last week.
Coach Eli Drinkwitz’s team will be the third straight unbeaten opponent Alabama has faced. Missouri defeated Massachusetts 42-6 in its last game on Sept. 27. The Tigers have outscored their opponents by an average of 30.6 points through five games but have played just two Power Four opponents thus far in Kansas and South Carolina.
The Crimson Tide are slightly favored by oddsmakers, while ESPN Analytics has given its own odds for Saturday’s game. ESPN’s matchup predictor, which offers a prediction model based on its college football power index (FPI) ratings and other variables, gives Alabama a 63.4% chance to win and Missouri a 36.6% chance.
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The Crimson Tide remain at No. 3 in the latest FPI ratings. Alabama has a 23.5 overall rating (up from 23.1 last week), while the Tigers have a 15.5 rating that ranks No. 18.
Kickoff for Alabama-Missouri is 11 a.m. CT. The game will be televised on ABC.
Alabama football odds of reaching 2025 College Football Playoff
In the updated FPI ratings, Alabama’s chances of reaching the 12-team College Football Playoff rose to 75.8% entering Week 7’s matchup. That’s up from 68.2% before last week’s win over Vanderbilt.
The Crimson Tide are given a 43.3% chance of winning the SEC title (up from 33.6% a week ago), a 24.5% chance to reach the national championship game, and a 14.1% shot of winning the national title.
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Alabama trails only the Ohio State Buckeyes (24.9) and Oregon Ducks (24.2) in the latest FPI ratings.
SEC football teams, ranked by ESPN FPI
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13. South Carolina Gamecocks (10.2 FPI)
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10. Missouri Tigers (15.5 FPI)
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8. Vanderbilt Commodores (15.8 FPI)
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3. Ole Miss Rebels (19.8 FPI)
What are ESPN FPI ratings?
ESPN explains:
“The Football Power Index (FPI) is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season. FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule. Ratings and projections update daily. FPI data from seasons prior to 2019 may not be complete.”
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Alabama football schedule 2025
All start times Central.
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Sept. 6: vs. UL Monroe (W, 73-0)
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Sept. 27: at Georgia (W, 24-21)
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Oct. 4: vs. Vanderbilt (W, 30-14)
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Oct. 11: at Missouri, 11 a.m., ABC
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Oct. 18: vs. Tennessee, 6:30 p.m., ABC
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Oct. 25: at South Carolina, TBA
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Nov. 8: vs. LSU, prime time
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Nov. 15: vs. Oklahoma, TBA
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Nov. 22 vs. Eastern Illinois, 1 p.m., ESPN+
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This article originally appeared on Roll Tide Wire: Alabama football odds of beating Missouri in Week 7 clash, per ESPN
