UFC 324 is happening this weekend (Sat., Jan. 24, 2026) inside T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, and broadcast, for the very first time, on Paramount+. The first main event of the non-PPV era is Justin Gaethje vs. Paddy Pimblett for UFC’s interim Lightweight title.
The co-main event spot was supposed to have the women’s Bantamweight belt on the line with Kayla Harrison welcoming back Amanda Nunes. Neck surgery for Harrison put an end to that (details here). Instead, we now have men’s Bantamweights in that slot with Sean O’Malley vs. Song Yadong.
Advertisement
Rounding out the rest of UFC 324’s main card is Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs. Derrick Lewis, Arnold Allen vs. Jean Silva and Natalia Silva vs. Rose Namajunas.
UFC 324’s “Prelims” are headlined by Umar Nurmagomedov vs. Deiveson Figueiredo. The Prelims also have Alex Perez vs. Charles Johnson and Michael Johnson vs. Alexander Hernandez.
I’ve been watching the lines (see them here) for all the fights on UFC 324 and tracking the changes to see which fighters the betting public are siding with. Below, you’ll find all the line movement between Monday and this time of writing (Friday morning).
UFC 324 PPV Main Card Line Movement Tracker
Alexander Volkanovski vs. Diego Lopes
Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis
Rafael Fiziev vs. Mauricio Ruffy
Tai Tuivasa vs. Tallison Teixeira
Responsible Betting
Betting on sports involves risk, so please only wager amounts you can afford to lose. If you or someone you know if struggling with gambling help can be found with the organizations listed below:
Advertisement
-
USA: National Problem Gambling Helpline — Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER to receive support and learn about available services.
-
UK: GamCare – Call 0808 8020 133 to speak to an advisor about gambling (or visit gamecare.org.uk for live chat and forum options).
-
Canada: Visit responsiblegambling.org for resources on helplines in Canada’s various provinces and territories.
-
Australia/New Zealand: National Gambling Helpline — Call (800) 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
Quillan Salkilld vs. Jamie Mullarkey
UFC 325 Late ‘Prelims’ Under Card Odds
Junior Tafa vs. Billy Elekana
Cam Rowston vs. Cody Brundage
Jacob Malkoun vs. Torrez Finney
UFC 324 Early ‘Prelims’
Jonathan Micallef vs. Oban Elliott
Kaan Ofli vs. Yizha
Dom Mar Fan vs. Sangwook Kim
Sebastian Szalay vs. Keiichiro Nakamura
Sulangrangbo vs. Lawrence Lui
Namsrai Batbayar vs. Aaron Tau
UFC 325 Biggest Line Movements
TLDR: Here are the biggest line movements at UFC 324:
-
Michael Johnson: From +250 underdog to a +120 underdog (-59.8%) (C)
-
Ricky Turcios: From +285 underdog to a +154 underdog (+51.6%) (C)
-
Rose Namajunas: From +130 underdog to +308 underdog (+43.6%) (A)
-
Natalia Silva: From -150 favorite to a -250 favorite (-34.1%) (E)
-
Deivson Figueiredo: From +550 underdog to a +856 underdog (+32%) (A)
Since I’ve been tracking line movements on UFC PPVs, a few early trends have started to develop.
A: Fighters who opened with plus odds and whose odds have then lengthened are 8-48.
Advertisement
B: Fighters who opened with plus odds and whose odds have then shortened, enough to give them minus odds, are 14-10.
C: Fighters who opened with plus odds and whose odds have then shortened, yet they remain at plus odds, are 3-8.
D: Fighters who opened with minus odds and whose odds have lengthened, enough to give them plus odds, are 6-5.
E: Fighters who opened with minus odds and whose odds have shortened are 4-3.
F: Fighters who opened with minus odds and whose odds have lengthened, though they remain at minus odds are 2-0.
UFC 324 Best Underdogs Bets
I like Pulyaev on Saturday night. I think he’s a big step up for Gautier and that he’ll be first guy who Gautier won’t be able to just melt after a couple of stages. Pulyaev was able to fight smart and frustrate Christian Leroy Duncan. For the odds you can get on him, I think he’s worth a look at someone who might prove that the hype on Gautier is getting a little out of control right now.
Advertisement
Enough about me, though. What do you think? Tell me your favorite dogs on this card.
