It all goes down this weekend (Sat., Sept. 27, 2025) inside RAC Arena in Perth, Australia. In the main event, two-time Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) Light Heavyweight title challenger, Dominick Reyes, collides with surging contender and No. 3-ranked contender, Carlos Ulberg.
We have a weekly series at MMAmania.com called “Weekend Lock,” where we share one bet that we predict will slap “Down Under” when the chaotic dust settles. We also want to hear what our readers think (that’s you!), so please tell us your most confident UFC Perth betting lock in the comments section below (see full UFC Perth odds here).
Let’s keep on, keeping on below:
On UFC Perth’s main card, Australian striker, Jake Matthews, faces off with former Top 15-seeded Welterweight, Neil Magny, in a battle of veterans.
This week, I’m locking in Matthews vs. Magny to Go the Distance at -115.
Both Matthews and Magny have long careers in UFC, and one clear trend stands out: neither is a high-volume finisher. Matthews has 15 UFC wins, but only eight have come via stoppage (four of them at the beginning of his career, too). Magny has 22 UFC wins and only eight of them come by way of finish. Both are similarly tough to finish, with Magny only getting stopped by the elite of the division.
When you pit two durable, experienced fighters against each other, the math favors a fight going the distance.
Matthews has evolved into a steady, technical striker. His kickboxing is crisp, his combinations measured, and he rarely overcommits, especially against high-level opposition. Magny, meanwhile, is known for his volume striking, wrestling and ability to avoid critical mistakes over three rounds. Both men can adapt and grind through adversity, making early finishes unlikely. Expect Matthews to pick his spots, mix kicks and punches, and work to out-point Magny, while defending takedowns and avoiding dangerous exchanges.
Honestly, it could be a boring fight.
Matthews has heavy hands and can flash knockout power if he lands clean, and Magny is opportunistic in scrambles. If Matthews gets reckless or Magny times a counter perfectly, the fight could end sooner than expected. Additionally, if cardio falters for either fighter — or one makes a strategic error — a finish becomes a real possibility.
Still, given their historical durability and technical styles, Matthews vs. Magny to Go the Distance at -115 looks like one of the most reliable plays on UFC Perth.
For what it’s worth, this X/Twitter user says stay away from this fight:
Remember that MMAmania.com will deliver LIVE round-by-round, blow-by-blow coverage of the entire UFC Perth fight card, starting with the ESPN+ “Prelims” matches online, which are scheduled to begin at 7 p.m. ET, before the main card start time at 10 p.m. ET (also on ESPN+).
To checkout the latest and greatest UFC Perth: “Ulberg vs. Reyes” news and notes be sure to hit up our comprehensive event archive right here.
