The Texas Tech Red Raiders have not lost with starting quarterback Behren Morton behind center, which is why my Oregon vs. Texas Tech same-game parlay puts its faith in the Red Raiders across the board.
For more college football picks, be sure also to read my complete Oregon vs. Texas Tech predictions.
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Our best Oregon vs Texas Tech SGP for the Orange Bowl
The biggest red flag in Oregon’s first-round playoff blowout of James Madison was the Dukes’ success running the ball. They added 0.68 expected points per rush attempt, a number that ranks in the 99th percentile of expectations. They had seven explosive rushing plays, and they succeeded on 59% of their rush attempts.
James Madison ran through Oregon, gaining 190 yards on 32 rush attempts. There is no version of those numbers that is not a problem.
Texas Tech should rely on complementary football in this matchup, running the ball against the Ducks’ weakness and trusting a dynamic Red Raiders’ defense to eventually create an advantageous situation.
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That may not sound fancy, but it will be effective. There is a reason Texas Tech has gone 8-0 against the spread against Power Four competition with Behren Morton behind center. The Red Raiders are efficient in nearly all facets of the game.
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