As most Ottawa Senators fans are well aware, the 2020 NHL Draft has panned out quite well for their team. Of course, back then, the day belonged to the New York Rangers, who will host the Senators at MSG on Wednesday night.
After making the playoffs (or at least that weird COVID-induced qualifying round), the Rangers somehow won the 2020 draft lottery and the right to draft QMJHL superstar Alexis Lafreniere first overall.
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Lafreniere was everybody’s number one that year. The Senators had two lottery tickets, their own and San Jose’s, so they had a good shot at number one. Sens fans had their fingers crossed, pleading with the hockey gods that the bingo balls would fall their way.
But even though the Rangers finished 18th overall in the standings, with 17 more points than Ottawa, it was New York that defied their long odds to win the lottery. The Sens ended up “settling” for the third and fifth overall picks.
Now, five and a half years later, Sens fans are thankful for those unanswered 2020 prayers and that things worked out the way they did.
Lafreniere hasn’t turned out to be the generational talent that everyone expected. In fact, given the chance, the Blueshirts would probably trade him without hesitation to Ottawa for either Tim Stützle or Jake Sanderson, the two players the Senators selected just minutes after Lafreniere was taken.
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The late Alex Trebek made the Stutzle pick, not knowing the Sens were about to pull off a Daily Double.
Stützle has 46 points in 45 games for the Senators, while Jake Sanderson has 33 points and is now regarded as one of the very best defencemen in hockey. Meanwhile, Lafreniere has 24 points in 47 games in his sixth season as a Ranger.
Both Ottawa players are headed for the Olympics next month, while Lafreniere headed for the Rangers’ third line on Monday. Head coach Mike Sullivan pulled him out of the top six for Monday’s game against the Seattle Kraken, replacing him with a newer model: former Boston College star Gabriel Perreault, the club’s 2023 first-rounder.
Sullivan, who’s one win away from 500 victories in his head-coaching career, says he wants to see more from Lafreniere.
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“Part of my job is trying to provide a pathway for players to thrive and succeed,” Sullivan told the New York media on Monday morning. “Laf is an extremely talented player. He’s a good player. We think he’s capable of next-level play. We’re trying to find a way to get him there, and that’s part of this process that we’re going through.
“Laf is another guy that cares a lot about what’s going on here, and he also puts a lot of pressure on himself to contribute in a way that helps the team win. So we’re trying to tweak the lineup in ways that we think give us the best chance to win and try to get the most out of certain guys.”
Many Sens fans will recall how it was over 30 years ago when another QMJHL prospect named Alex was everybody’s number one, a so-called can’t-miss prospect. Instead, Alexandre Daigle had himself a good, average NHL career, nothing more. Lafreniere is having a very good career as well, and at 24, his story has only partially been written, but after five and a half seasons, we now have a pretty good sample size to judge his future trajectory.
But that’s how it goes sometimes. And as long as the NHL is out here drafting unpredictable 18-year-olds, there are always going to be cases like these that turn draft lottery winners into losers… and vice versa.
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Steve Warne
The Hockey News Ottawa
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