Tennessee (4-1, 1-1 SEC) remains ranked No. 15 in the US LBM Coaches Poll for a fourth consecutive week. The Vols defeated Mississippi State (4-1, 0-1 SEC), 41-34 in overtime, during Week 5.
Tennessee will have its first of two open dates during the regular season in Week 6. Nov. 8 will be Tennessee’s final open date this season.
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The Vols will next play Arkansas on Oct. 11 at Neyland Stadium. Arkansas fired its head coach Sam Pittman Sunday after a 2-3 (0-1 SEC) start in 2025. Offensive coordinator and quarterbacks coach Bobby Petrino will serve as the Razorbacks’ interim head coach.
Arkansas also has an open date in Week 6.
Following Week 5 in 2025, Vols Wire looks at game-by-game projected scores for Tennessee’s remaining games in the regular season from Nolan Analytics. Projected score predictions are listed below.
More: 2025 SEC football power rankings after Week 5
2025 Tennessee football game-by-game score predictions after Week 5
Syracuse Orange
Joey Aguilar
Tennessee kicked off its 2025 season against Syracuse in a neutral site matchup. The Vols’ offense totaled 493 yards (247 passing, 246 rushing) and 68 plays with 25 minutes, 29 seconds of time possession in Week 1.
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Score: Tennessee 45, Syracuse 26
Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, Georgia)
Date: Aug. 30
More: Tennessee’s offensive tempo detailed after Syracuse football game
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
Mike Matthews
The two in-state schools played for a second time with the first meeting taking place in 2018. The Vols totaled 717 yards (458 passing, 259 rushing) against ETSU in Week 2.
Score: Tennessee 72, East Tennessee State 17
Location: Neyland Stadium (Knoxville, Tennessee)
Date: Sept. 6
Georgia Bulldogs
Joey Aguilar
Georgia has won nine consecutive games against Tennessee. The Vols last win in the series was in 2016. The longest win streak in the series is nine games by Tennessee from 1989-99 and the Bulldogs’ current win streak.
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Score: Georgia 44, Tennessee 41 (OT)
Location: Neyland Stadium (Knoxville, Tennessee)
Date: Sept. 13
UAB Blazers
Star Thomas
Tennessee totaled 510 yards (275 passing, 235 rushing) versus the Blazers. The Vols are 6-0 all time against UAB on the field.
Score: Tennessee 56, UAB 24
Location: Neyland Stadium (Knoxville, Tennessee)
Date: Sept. 20
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Chris Brazzell II
Tennessee played its second overtime game in SEC play in Week 5. The Vols totaled 466 yards, 72 plays and 27 minutes, 47 seconds of time of possession.
Score: Tennessee 41, Mississippi State 34 (OT)
Location: Davis Wade Stadium (Starkville, Mississippi)
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Date: Sept. 27
Arkansas Razorbacks
Arkansas Razorbacks
Tennessee suffered its first loss after an open date under Heupel at Arkansas in 2024. The Razorbacks last played at Neyland Stadium in 2015.
Prediction: Tennessee 40, Arkansas 20
Location: Neyland Stadium (Knoxville, Tennessee)
Date: Oct. 11
Alabama Crimson Tide
Alabama Crimson Tide
Tennessee defeated the Crimson Tide, 24-17, at Neyland Stadium in 2024. Tennessee’s last win at Alabama was in 2003. Heupel is 2-2 against Alabama as the Vols’ head coach.
Prediction: Alabama 30, Tennessee 21
Location: Bryant-Denny Stadium (Tuscaloosa, Alabama)
Date: Oct. 18
Kentucky Wildcats
Kentucky Wildcats
Tennessee will play back-to-back road games against Alabama and Kentucky in 2025. The Vols are averaging 39.0 points per game at Kentucky under Heupel.
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Prediction: Tennessee 35, Kentucky 21
Location: Kroger Field (Lexington, Kentucky)
Date: Oct. 25
Oklahoma Sooners
Oklahoma Sooners
Tennessee defeated the Sooners, 25-15, in 2024 for Heupel’s return to Norman, Oklahoma. The Sooners will play at Neyland Stadium for the first time since 2015.
Prediction: Tennessee 26, Oklahoma 24
Location: Neyland Stadium (Knoxville, Tennessee)
Date: Nov. 1
New Mexico State Aggies
New Mexico State Aggies
Tennessee and New Mexico State will play for the first time in 2025. The Aggies went 3-9 (2-6 C-USA) in 2024 under first-year head coach Tony Sanchez.
Prediction: Tennessee 49, New Mexico State 13
Location: Neyland Stadium (Knoxville, Tennessee)
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Date: Nov. 15
Florida Gators
Florida Gators
Tennessee defeated the Gators, 23-17 in overtime, last season. The Vols have not won at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium since 2003 under then-head coach Phillip Fulmer.
Prediction: Tennessee 30, Florida 21
Location: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium (Gainesville, Florida)
Date: Nov. 22
Vanderbilt Commodores
Vanderbilt Commodores
Tennessee has won six straight games in the in-state SEC series. The Vols won at Vanderbilt, 36-23, in 2024 to clinch an appearance in the College Football Playoff.
Prediction: Tennessee 32, Vanderbilt 23
Location: Neyland Stadium (Knoxville, Tennessee)
Date: Nov. 29
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This article originally appeared on Vols Wire: Updated game-by-game score projections for Vols football after Week 5
