UFC 321 will take place at Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi on Saturday, featuring a heavyweight championship matchup between Tom Aspinall and Ciryl Gane, with the undisputed title on the line.
In his most recent fight, Aspinall (15-3-0) stepped into the octagon 15 months ago, in July 2024, where he defeated Curtis Blaydes in a rematch that lasted only one round. This victory followed Aspinall’s TKO loss to Blaydes in July 2022. Aspinall had been aiming for a bout with Jon Jones, but after Jones’s retirement in June 2025, Aspinall was elevated to undisputed champion.
Ciryl Gane, a fighter from France with a record of 13 wins and 2 losses, is known for his exceptional striking ability. He was a former interim champion, having captured the title by defeating Derrick Lewis in 2021. However, Gane’s career took a downward turn after his title win. He lost the championship to Francis Ngannou by unanimous decision in 2022 and suffered another defeat to Jon Jones in March 2023.
Here’s how you can watch and current predictions and odds for UFC 321:
How to watch UFC 321: Tom Aspinall vs. Ciryl Gane
UFC 321 will feature Tom Aspinall taking on Ciryl Gane in the main event on Pay-Per-View. The prelims will be available to stream on ESPN+, Disney+ and FX.
- Date: Saturday, Oct. 25, 2025
- Time: Prelims start at 10 a.m. ET, with main card at 2 p.m. ET
- Stream: Prelims on ESPN+/Disney+/FX and main card starts on PPV
- Location: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
UFC 321: Tom Aspinall vs Ciryl Gane card
Card information according to ESPN; Odds via BetMGM.
- Champ Tom Aspinall (-425) vs. Ciryl Gane (+310): Heavyweight title
- Virna Jandiroba (+140) vs. Mackenzie Dern (-170): Women’s strawweight title
- Umar Nurmagomedov (-625) vs. Mario Bautista (+450): Bantamweight
- Alexander Volkov (+180) vs. Jailton Almeida (-220): Heavyweight
- Aleksandar Rakic (-105) vs. Azamat Murzakanov (-115): Light Heavyweight
- Nasrat Haqparast (-110) vs. Quillan Salkilld (-110): Lightweight
- Ikram Aliskerov (-250) vs. JunYong Park (+200): Middleweight
- Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady (-110) vs. Matheus Camilo (+110): Lightweight
- Ludovit Klein (-150) vs. Mateusz Rebecki (+125): Lightweight
- Valter Walker (-350) vs. Louie Sutherland (+275): Heavyweight
- Nathaniel Wood (+125) vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (-150): Featherweight
- Hamdy Abdelwahab (-450) vs. Chris Barnett (+340): Heavyweight
- Azat Maksum (-400) vs. Mitch Raposo (+310): Flyweight
- Jaqueline Amorim (-450) vs. Mizuki Inoue (+340): Women’s Strawweight
UFC 321: Tom Aspinall vs. Ciryl Gane predictions
MMA Junkie: Alexander Volkov makes prediction that can go either way
Farah Hannoun writes on behalf of Alexander Volkov predictions: “It depends how the fight starts, how both of them will be prepared for this fight. I saw that Gane will be motivated a lot for this fight to get the belt. It’s 50-50, but on paper, when I fought both of them, Tom Aspinall looks better. But in the fight, it could go any way.”
ESPN: Tom Aspinall
Brett Okamoto and Ian Parker write: “Aspinall will defend his heavyweight belt after a 15-month layoff and will do so against the No. 1 contender in Gane. On the feet, this is a 50-50 fight with Gane being the more technical kickboxer while Aspinall is the more explosive athlete with knockout power. The difference will be Aspinall’s grappling and jiu-jitsu. Gane was submitted by Jon Jones in Round 1 in March 2023, so it wouldn’t shock me if Aspinall takes that same path. Go with Aspinall to win inside the distance, and if you are feeling greedy, take him to win by submission.”
BetMGM: Aspinall via TKO/KO
Anatoly Pimentel writes: “I predict a TKO/KO finish for Aspinall within two rounds because of the one-punch knockout power that he has. Additionally, he has the killer instinct to finish his opponents, which is evident in his TKO/KO rate of 100%. Once the lethal right-hand punch of Aspinall lands, it significantly compromises the opposition. He’s also very accurate with his offense and does a good job of closing the distance with caution without overextending.”
Boxing News: Aspinall
Staff writes: “I think Tom Aspinall blitzes straight through Ciryl Gane to be quite honest,” the Australian MMA superstar said on his YouTube channel. “Whether it’s a takedown or even with the strikes. Unless you catch him [Aspinall] coming in, he’s bulldozing you. You need to try and catch Aspinall coming in and I just can’t see that happening. “It’s going to be a win for Tom Aspinall . I think he’s a heavy favorite.”
