UFC Vegas 112 odds: Best betting props, parlays and picks

UFC Vegas 112 goes down this weekend (Sat., Dec. 13, 2025), for the last time this year. The location is UFC’s APEX venue in Las Vegas, Nevada, for the first time in more than one month. The main event for this year-end event is Brandon Royval vs. Manel Kape, with both men hoping to move forward in the Flyweight division and get a shot of new division champion, Joshua Van (who won the title in less than spectacular fashion last week).

The co-main is a Featherweight clash with Giga Chikadze vs. Kevin Vallejos. Chikadze needs a win to prevent himself being totally forgotten at 145 pounds.

Rounding out ESPN+’s last-ever main card on Saturday is Cesar Almeida vs. Cezary Oleksiejczuk, Melquizael Costa vs. Morgan Charriere and Kennedy Nzechukwu vs. Marcus Buchecha.

UFC Vegas 112’s “Prelims” are headlined by Amanda Lemos vs. Gillian Robertson. The undercard also has Neil Magny vs. Yaroslav Amasov and Melissa Croden vs. Luana Santos.

As always, there’s lots to bet on this card and we’ve got odds for all the fights below:

UFC Vegas 112 Main Card Money Line Odds

Brandon Royval (+240) vs. Manel Kape (-298)

Royval was stuck on the outside looking in at all the chaos that unfolded at Flyweight during UFC 323. He could have had that spot opposite Alexandre Pantoja (someone he unsuccessfully challenged for the belt in 2023) had he beaten Joshua Van in his last fight. Unfortunately for him, though, he was unable to keep up with the youngster in that brawl and he got pretty touched up in that unanimous decision loss. He did get a “Fight of the Night” bonus for that, though. Prior to that loss he took a tough split decisions over Tatsuro Taira (someone else who is probably getting a title shot before him) and Brandon Moreno (the only Flyweight more stuck behind the 8-Ball than he is).

Kape, meanwhile, is coming off two weird wins. Last time out, in March, he TKO’d Asu Almabayev after some pretty egregious eye-rakes (see that here). Before that, he beat Bruno Silva after suffering multiple low blows and then delivering one himself. Before that, he lost one of the worst fights of 2024, a boring yet bitter grudge match with Muhammad Mokaev.

I think Kape might be a Heavyweight in disguise.

This feels like a y’all mus’ve forgot fight for Royval. I’m shocked to see his odds here. Yes, Royval has just failed to get over the finish line in a very big fight (not for the first time in his career). But, a main event with Kape in the APEX doesn’t feel like one of those situations. This feels like the kind of fight where we see the best out of him, like when he dismantled Taira — I know that was a split decision, but I scored it firmly for Royval (as did all the other media scores).

It seems likely that this will be a five-round kickboxing match. Kape is a very fun striker, but I don’t think he overwhelms the ultra-tough Royval on the feet. And, I have a feeling Royval might have learned a lesson from the Van fight — that he can’t win these fights with a, “I’ll take one to land one approach” (as shown by his 43 percent defense on significant strikes). I think there’s a good chance that Royval mixes his martial arts in this fight and I think he’s more capable of doing that than Kape.

Royval is very good on the ground, but he doesn’t show us much of that on his own volition. Taira forced him to show that and he proved that he has both great defense down there and a lot of skill with maintaining top control and delivering punishment. If he’s looking to put Kape down, between combos, I think he could find some success. His size advantage would certainly help this, too.

Since I like Royval, that moneyline looks like mana from heaven. The point spread is even more attractive, though. Royval +9.5 is -105. That’s going to be my best bet, because I don’t think Kape stops Royval. Royval has only been stopped twice in his career. One was a submission to Pantoja and the other was a technical knockout to Brandon Moreno after he suffered a shoulder injury. He’s survived Taira on the ground and Van on the feet (despite suffering a knockdown). Van also hit him with 204 significant strikes (he responded with 215 of his own).

I think this is going to a decision and these top Flyweight bouts sometimes see scores all over the place, since the rounds are so competitive. I really don’t see Kape getting all 50-45s/49-46s on the scorecards.

Fight to go to a decision is +120, which is attractive. The odds on a KO/TKO/DQ are +105, which surprises me. With Kape as the heavy favorite, Vegas must think there’s a good chance Kape stops Royval with striking (which goes against what I laid out above). I’m going to avoid the decision bet, though, since I think there’s a sneaky chance that Royval gets a submission (should he decide to show us he can outwork Kape on the ground).

With me being high on this underdog, I simply can’t turn down that point spread. I would have capped Royval at -105 on the moneyline for this fight, so I’m delighted to get that with a lot of insurance.

Best bet: Brandon Royval +9.5 (-105)

Giga Chikadze (+240) vs. Kevin Vallejos (-298)

Chikadze has become pretty irrelevant at Featherweight thanks to back-to-back decision losses to Arnold Allen and David Onama (a fight where he missed weight). It doesn’t help that those losses came after a year on the sidelines, either. His last win was a decision over Alex Caceres in 2023. It now feels a very long time ago when he burst onto the scene with stoppages over Edson Barboza and Cub Swanson.

Vallejos, on the other hand, is perfect (2-0) to start his UFC career (not counting his Contender Series win). His victories have been over Seung Woo Choi (see that technical knockout here) and Danny Silva.

I’m a little surprised by this line. Vegas seems to have really moved on from Chikadze. I’m not quite ready to do that, especially in this match-up against a relatively unproven and quite one-dimensional fighter.

Vallejos is a good power puncher who throws down lots of volume. But, Chikadze has six inches of reach, five inches of height and a kicking game that won’t suffer from any risk of takedowns. Chikadze also has serviceable grappling.

Chikadze may have looked a little spent recently, but his opponents were the streaking Onama (in a very close fight) and the always tough Allen. I don’t think those losses are enough to discount him against a man who is still very green in UFC.

Because I like the underdog there are lots of great betting options for me. I can get Chikadze +5.5 for -125! I’m feeling quite confident in this underdog pick, though, so I’m going with the moneyline. It’s rare I see those kind of odds on the person I would pick as the favorite before seeing the odds.

Best bet: Giga Chikadze moneyline (+240)

Cesar Almeida (+180) vs. Cezary Oleksiejczuk (-218)

Almeida is coming off a brutal stoppage over Abdul Razak Alhassen (see it here). Before that, he beat up Ihor Potieria. He’s 3-1 in UFC now with his other win being a finish over Dylan Budka and the loss being a split decision to Roman Kopylov (who showed how bad Almeida’s ground game is).

Oleksiejzcuk is the younger brother of veteran Middleweight Michal Oleksiejczuk. He was signed to UFC after a lightning-fast win on Contender Series in September. He’s 16-3 as a pro, though he’s not been on the bigger European shows (KSW, Cage Warriors, OKTAGON). He does have wins over former UFC fighters Tom Breese (a blitzing technical knockout) and Chris Fishgold, though.

I don’t know what to make of this fight. We’ve got a Contender Series newbie in the fight just behind the co-main event. Oleksiejczuk is unproven. Though, he does look the part.

Almeida has shown that he’s capable of replicating his scary GLORY KOs in mixed martial arts (MMA). He is woeful when it comes to the ground, though.

I’m surprised to see Almeida as the underdog in this fight. He’s the best fighter Oleksiejczuk has ever fought. I don’t think Almeida can say the same.

Based on watching some of his recent fights, Oleksiejczuk doesn’t seem too interested in taking people down. If he’s going to stand and bang with Almeida, I’ll side with the Brazilian; a known quantity in the Octagon.

Best bet: Cesar Almeida moneyline (+180)

Melquizael Costa (-110) vs. Morgan Charriere (-110)

Costa has had a banner year in 2025. He’s won three fights this year, beating Andre Fili by submission and Christian Rodriguez and Julian Erosa by decision. He also earned a “Fight of the Night” bonus for the Erosa win.

Charriere, conversely, has had a more up-and-down year. It started with a unanimous decision loss to Nathaniel Wood. However, in July, he managed to scoop a “Performance of the Night” award for starching Nate Landwehr (see that here).

This is a tough fight to call, hence the true pick ‘em odds. I’ve really enjoyed watching both these guys fight this year. Costa has been the more consistent performer, though. And he’s got more weapons at his disposal than the Pirate, Charriere.

Costa has shown himself to be a very serviceable kickboxer. His submission game is fantastic, though.

Charriere, on his day, is the more dynamic striker and he has decent wrestling. However, I think Costa’s advantage on the ground is greater than Charriere’s advantage on the feet. And I don’t have any questions about Costa showing up on fight night.

Charriere has great takedown defense, at 83 percent. That’s a little inflated since he’s only faced two opponents who attempted takedowns on him. Gabriel Miranda went 1-4 and Chepe Mariscal went 1-8. Costa is creative enough that he doesn’t need a standard takedown to initiate submission attacks, though. He’s good off his back, with submissions and sweeps, and he’s good with standing front chokes. I think he’s probably got a flying armbar in him, too.

Costa also has some size over Charriere. That could help him if does want to go the standard takedown.

Best bet: Melquizael Costa moneyline (-130)

Kennedy Nzechukwu (-130) vs. Marcus Buchecha (+110)

Nzechukwu added his name to the growing list of Valter Walker heel hook victims in his last fight, getting tapped by the move in less than one minute (see it here). Before that, he was 2-0 in his Heavyweight career, stopping both Lukasz Brzeski and Chris Barnett in the first round.

Brazilian jiu-jitsu legend, Buchecha, looked like a fish out of water in his UFC debut in the summer. He was quite easily beaten by Martin Buday (who was released immediately afterward). That dropped Buchecha’s MMA record down to 5-2. His other loss was to Reug Reug (Oumar Kane) in ONE.

I don’t think Buchecha is cut out for this.

He couldn’t stop Buday hitting him and he couldn’t get a takedown. Nzechukwu hits harder, faster and with more volume and he’s also harder to take down.

I don’t have the odds for it yet, but I would take Nzechukwu to win by KO/TKO/DQ. As it stands, I’ll just go with the moneyline.

Best bet: Kennedy Nzechukwu moneyline (-130)

UFC Vegas 112 ‘Prelims’ Under Card Odds

Amanda Lemos (+160) vs. Gillian Robertson (-192)

Robertson has been flying ever since she lost a decision to Tabatha Ricci in 2023. Since then she’s won four fights and looked dominant in all of them. Most recently she finished Marina Rodriguez by second round TKO (see it here). That retired Rodriguez. Last year, Robertson retired Michelle Waterson-Gomez with a very one-sided beating. She was due to face fellow rising talent Iasmin Lucindo at this event. However, after Lucindo fell out, Robertson has been matched with a name that can get her right into title contention.

Lemos, who gave Zhang Weili one of the more competitive title fights of her career, is coming off a unanimous decision loss to Tatiana Suarez. That was a little closer than the scorecards suggested, though. Before that Lemos beat back the surging Lucindo.

This is a really good fight and great test for Robertson. She’s looked unstoppable on this run, but she’s got an opponent would could make things much harder for her. I still like her to come through this with a win, but I don’t expect her to dominate like she has lately.

Lemos is historically known for her striking, like when she beat current champion, Mackenzie Dern, after hitting her with 41 significant strikes, while scoring a knockdown and giving up just 21 significant strikes in return. Against the hot prospect Lucindo, though, she became a grappler. She got Lucindo down on three of five takedowns and sucked up a massive eight minutes of control time. She tried to box her way past Suarez, but got grounded herself for almost 10 minutes.

She’s probably going to want to box with Robertson, since Robertson has a scary ground game with both submissions and ground and pound. Robertson has looked like a bit of a killer on the feet lately, but her opponents have been on the tail ends of their careers. I don’t think she will have it all her way if she brawls with Lemos.

I’m still picking Robertson, in spite of that. I think she can do enough to hang with Lemos on the feet and that she can supplement that with a takedown, or two, and some nice ground-and-pound.

Best bet: Gillian Robertson moneyline (-192)

Neil Magny (+325) vs. Yaroslav Amosov (-425)

Magny has had a heck of a year. That’s because UFC has stopped using him as a gatekeeper for young bucks. That approach in 2024 led to stoppage losses at the hands of current title contenders Michael Morales and Carlos Prates. This year he’s gone up against fellow Welterweight vets and managed to best both Elizeu Zaleski and Jake Matthews, both by stoppage.

Amosov comes to UFC after a career spent largely in Bellator. During the height of his career, when he won the Bellator title by beating Douglas Lima, he was one of the best fighters on the planet outside UFC. His MMA career went on pause, briefly, while he returned to Ukraine to fight against the Russian invasion there. Currently, the 32 year-old has a 28-1 record. The only loss was to wrestling specialist, Jason Jackson, in Bellator, which cost him his title. In March, Amosov returned from two years of inactivity to finish Curtis Millender with an anaconda choke.

I really like the run that Magny has been on and his clinch striking looked fantastic in both those last two fights. I’m a fan of Amosov, though. I wish he had come to UFC sooner. Now, I have a lot of reservations over whether he can be a factor in this division.

We’ve seen a lot of Bellator guys have rude awakenings in the Octagon and I feel like this could be one of those nights. Even at his best, Amosov doesn’t have the scary striking that seems to be Magny’s Kryptonite. I think this might be a close one, but Magny’s cage-craft and experience could see him get through it.

Hopefully, that doesn’t result in them matching him up with prospects again!

Best bet: Neil Magny moneyline (+325)

King Green (-245) vs. Lance Gibson Jr. (+185)

This fight is an ultra late addition to the card (being announced only on Wednesday). This is Green’s first scheduled appearance since he had his soul momentarily disconnected from his body by a Mauricio Ruffy heel kick (see it here). I say scheduled since, with this fight being made so late there’s a good chance one or both of these guys don’t make it through the weigh-in.

Gibson Jr., the step-son of women’s MMA pioneer Julia Budd, is set to make his UFC debut here. He went 5-1 in Bellator with his only loss being a technical knockout against the unheralded Vladimir Tokov in 2023. He doesn’t have a win over a named guy, even by old Bellator standards.

As I said earlier, I think there’s a good chance this gets scrapped sometime on Friday. Green is 39 and nine years older than Gibson. At his best, Green walks through the unproven Gibson, but at his age and given the damage he took recently, I’m not sure what happens.

If the round total for this is 2.5 I’d take the under. Other than that, I would stay away entirely.

Best bet: Under 2.5 rounds

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Sean Sharaf (+185) vs. Steven Asplund (-225)

Sharaf came in on very short notice to fight Junior Tafa in Oct. 2024. He put on a good show in that fight, but that wasn’t enough to prevent him getting stopped. He’s been stuck on the sidelines since then, waiting for the UFC to repay him with a second fight inside the Octagon.

Asplund won on Contender Series, finishing Anthony Guarascio with a 16-second technical knockout. That fight came a few months after he stopped Raidan Kovacs in Legacy Fighting Alliance (LFA). Asplund has been a staple with LFA over the last few years. He’s 6-1 in his career with his only loss being to recent UFC recruit Denzel Freeman.

Asplund cuts an odd figure, but dude can crack. He’s also got surprising hand speed. I think he’s a more dangerous striker than Sharaf. However, I don’t think he’s very strong. Sharaf, who has a much more muslce, might find success pressing him into the cage and possibly dropping down for a takedown.

The round total for this is 1.5. I’ll take the under — it’s Heavyweight.

Best bet: Under 1.5 rounds (-175)

Melissa Croden (+110) vs. Luana Santos (-130)

Croden, a former LFA champion, looked good in her promotional debut in October. She dominated Tainara Lisboa and scored a third round technical knockout (see it here). That improved her record to 7-2. One of her professional losses was to Jacqueline Cavalcanti, who might be a title challenger in 2026.

Santos also beat Lisboa in her last fight. Her win came with an americana (see it here). Before that, she lost a decision to Casey O’Neill. She’s 9-2 right now and also has finishes over Mariya Agapova and Julianna Miller.

I like Croden a lot, but I think this is a tough match-up for her in her second UFC appearance. I don’t think she’s going to get takedowns on Santos as easily as she did on Lisboa. Santos has an 83 percent takedown defense. She shut out both Miller and O’Neill on takedown attempts. And I think her striking will be a little too crisp for Croden.

Best bet: Luana Santos moneyline (-130)

Allen Frye Jr. (+145) vs. Guiherme Pat (-175)

Frye Jr. is undefeated (6-0), 27 years old and 6’4.” He’s not appeared in any notable promotions, though. His last win was at Real Deal Championships. Pat is one inch bigger than Frye. He’s got a 5-0 record. His last fight was a technical knockout win in LFA.

Honestly, I have no idea who these guys are or how they fight. If you do, congrats, you are one of the most degenerate MMA watchers on the face of the planet.

I couldn’t find any tape on Frye. I watched Pat’s LFA fight. He fights from a karate stance and is very quick. He’s very slim for a Heavyweight, though, and was controlled quite easily on the fence and dragged down a lot. Once his opponent gassed out he started sniping away, breaking his nose and busting him up to elicit a standing technical knockout.

I guess I’ll pick Pat since Vegas have him as the favorite and I have no idea what Frye Jr. brings to the table.

Best bet: Guilherme Pat moneyline (-175)

Jamey-Lyn Horth (+130) vs. Tereza Bleda (-155)

Horth overwhelmed Vanessa Demopoulos for a lopsided decision in June (as a -600 favorite). That was her first fight since she lost a decision to Miranda Maverick one year ago (as a +525 underdog). She was supposed to fight Bleda back in June, but Bleda had to pull out.

Bleda came into UFC with a moderate amount of hype in 2022, winning her Contender Series appearance. She then lost to a Natalia Silva spinning kick in her proper debut. She beat Gabriella Ferandes in 2023, but hasn’t fought since then.

Horth got to be a size bully against Demopoulos. She won’t have that luxury here. Bleda is a big girl at 5’9.” That’s two inches taller than Horth. Bleda will also have five inches of reach advantage.

From what I’ve seen of Bleda, she seems to have a half decent well rounded game. The problem is she hasn’t been able to compete enough for us to know if that’s something she can consistently show. Horth is limited, but at least she’s been active.

I think Bleda has a much higher ceiling than Horth and she’s got more talent right now, too. It’s just hard to be confident in her given that long absence.

I’m going to go bold on this fight and go with under 2.5 rounds for big plus odds. If Bleda comes in with a lot of ring rust and Horth’s improved showing against Demopolous wasn’t just because of a size advantage, the Czech fighter could be in trouble. And if Bleda is rested and ready to show us the kind of skills that made her a very young champ in OKTAGON, then we might get a wild headkick finish to start the night.

Best bet: Under 2.5 rounds (+230)

UFC Vegas 112 Long Shots!

Here’s a couple of long shots for Saturday’s action …

Brandon Royval to win by Submission (+310)

I was really impressed by Royval’s ground game against Tatsuro Taira. And I think he might take a once bitten twice shy approach against a fast volume striker and, instead of standing and banging like he did with Joshua Van, try and force Kape into the world where he’s weakest.

Cesar Almeida vs. Cezary Oleksiejczuk to finish in the first 60 seconds of Round 1 (+1000)

We’ve had a lot of wild fights and quick finishes over the last few events. This event has to have one of them. Oleksiejczuk fights with reckless abandon (like his brother). That plus some anxiety about making a good start to his UFC career might lead him to really reach against Almeida, who sucks as an MMA fighter, but is a killer knockout artist.

Two-fight parlay: Brandon Royval and Giga Chikadze (+1073)

I can get these odds by parlaying the two best fighters on the card? Is this legal?

LIVE! Watch UFC Vegas 112 On ESPN+ Here!

VEGAS VELOCITY! Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) returns to action on Sat., Dec. 13, 2025, with its final event of the ESPN+ era, UFC Vegas 112, which will take place inside UFC APEX in Las Vegas, Nevada. In UFC Vegas 112’s main event, Flyweight contenders Brandon Royval vs. Manel Kape clash in a high-stakes, five-round bout. The co-main event features a high-octane Featherweight showdown between Giga Chikadze vs. Kevin Vallejos, with potential title implications on the line. The card will also showcase a Middleweight showdown pitting Cesar Almeida vs. Cezary Oleksiejczuk, a Featherweight collision featuring Melquizael Costa vs. Morgan Charriere, and much more! The start time is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (“Prelims” undercard) and 10 p.m. ET (main card).

Don’t miss a single second of face punching action!

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UFC Vegas 112 odds: Best betting props, parlays and picks | Royval vs. Kape