The Oklahoma Sooners came out of the gates a little sluggish in their Week 1 matchup with the Illinois State Redbirds. But it didn’t take long for Oklahoma to find a little life on offense and rolled to a 35-3 win to open the season. There was a lot to like about the Sooners’ performance, even if the margin of victory wasn’t as much as many thought it would be.
Ultimately, the Sooners walked away with a convincing 32-point win with a vanilla game plan on both sides of the ball. Next up will be a much more significant test against Bryce Underwood and the Michigan Wolverines.
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The Sooners are expected to be a bit healthier along the offensive line in Week 2 than they were in the opener. The Oklahoma offensive line will be critical to their success against what should be a good defensive front seven for the Wolverines.
With Week 1 behind us, how does the ESPN Matchup Predictor see the rest of the Sooners’ 2025 schedule playing out? Here’s an updated look at the game-by-game predictions.
Sept. 6 vs. Michigan Wolverines
Dec 31, 2024; Tampa, FL, USA; Michigan Wolverines head coach Sherrone Moore screams from the sideline against the Alabama Crimson Tide during the second half at Raymond James Stadium.
Predicted Winner: Oklahoma
Sooners Win Probability: 53.5% (Up from 48.2%)
Projected running record: 2-0
Sept. 13 at Temple Owls
Aug 30, 2024; Norman, Oklahoma, USA; Oklahoma Sooners defensive lineman Gracen Halton (56) celebrates with Oklahoma Sooners linebacker Danny Stutsman (28) during the first quarter against the Temple Owls at Gaylord Family-Oklahoma Memorial Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports
Predicted Winner: Oklahoma
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Sooners Win Probability: 83.3% (Down from 93.4%)
Projected running record: 3-0
Oklahoma Sooners linebacker Kip Lewis (10) and Auburn Tigers quarterback Payton Thorne (1) shake hands after the game as Auburn Tigers take on Oklahoma Sooners at Jordan-Hare Stadium in Auburn, Ala., on Saturday, Sept. 28, 2024. Oklahoma Sooners defeated Auburn Tigers 27-21.
Predicted Winner: Auburn
Sooners Win Probability: 48.4% (Down from 58.4%)
Projected running record: 3-1
Oct. 4 vs. Kent State Golden Flashes
Sep 10, 2022; Norman, Oklahoma, USA; Oklahoma Sooners wide receiver Marvin Mims (17) reacts after scoring a touchdown during the second half against the Kent State Golden Flashes at Gaylord Family-Oklahoma Memorial Stadium. Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports
Predicted Winner: Oklahoma
Sooners Win Probability: 98.6% (Up from 98.5%)
Projected running record: 4-1
Predicted Winner: Texas
Sooners Win Probability: 17.1% (Up from 15.5%)
Projected running record: 4-2
Predicted Winner: South Carolina
Sooners Win Probability: 28.3% (Down from 29.2%)
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Projected running record: 4-3
Oct. 25 vs. Ole Miss Rebels
Oct 7, 2023; Oxford, Mississippi, USA; Mississippi Rebels head coach Lane Kiffin (left) and Arkansas Razorbacks head coach Sam Pittman (right) shake hands after the game at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Petre Thomas-USA TODAY Sports
Predicted Winner: Ole Miss
Sooners Win Probability: 27.7% (Down from 43.7%)
Projected running record: 4-4
Nov. 1 at Tennessee Volunteers
Oklahoma Sooners defense back Robert Spears-Jennings forces Tennessee Volunteers quarterback Nico Iamaleava (8) to fumble during a college football game between the University of Oklahoma Sooners (OU) and the Tennessee Volunteers at Gaylord Family – Oklahoma Memorial Stadium in Norman, Okla., Saturday, Sept. 21, 2024.
Predicted Winner: Tennessee
Sooners Win Probability: 22.8% (Down from 26.3%)
Projected running record: 4-5
Nov. 8: Bye Week
Nov. 15 at Alabama Crimson Tide
Oklahoma Sooners defensive lineman R Mason Thomas (32) hits Alabama Crimson Tide quarterback Jalen Milroe (4) during a college football game between the University of Oklahoma Sooners (OU) and the Alabama Crimson Tide at Gaylord Family – Oklahoma Memorial Stadium in Norman, Okla., Saturday, Nov. 23, 2024. Oklahoma won 24-3.
Predicted Winner: Alabama
Sooners Win Probability: 33.5% (Up from 20.1%)
Projected running record: 4-6
Oct 12, 2024; Amherst, Massachusetts, USA; Missouri Tigers offensive lineman Cayden Green (70) in action during the second half against the Massachusetts Minutemen at Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Eric Canha-Imagn Images
Predicted Winner: Oklahoma
Sooners Win Probability: 50.4% (Down from 58.1%)
Projected running record: 5-6
Nov. 29 vs. LSU Tigers
Tigers quarterback Garrett Nussmeier 13 throws a pass as the LSU Tigers take on the Oklahoma Sooners. Nov 30, 2024; Baton Rouge, Louisiana, USA; at Tiger Stadium.
Predicted Winner: LSU
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Sooners Win Probability: 41% (Down from 45.1%)
Projected running record: 5-7
Oklahoma still projected to go 5-7
After Week 1, the computers still don’t have a lot of love for the Oklahoma Sooners. A win over Michigan would change the perception for the Sooners in 2025. All they have to do is keep winning.
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This article originally appeared on Sooners Wire: Oklahoma updated game by game predictions from ESPN Matchup Predictor
