Home US SportsNCAAB Xavier vs. No. 3 UConn predictions: Odds, recent stats, trends and best bets for February 3

Xavier vs. No. 3 UConn predictions: Odds, recent stats, trends and best bets for February 3

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Winners of 17 in a row, the Huskies of UConn (21–1, 11–0 Big East) host the Xavier Musketeers (12–10, 4–7 Big East) tonight at PeoplesBank Arena in Hartford, CT.

The third-ranked Huskies’ lone loss this season was to top-ranked Arizona, 71-67. They lost at home on November 19 but were without Tarris Reed Jr. and Braylon Mullins, their second and fourth-leading scorers. Their success the last couple of months is founded in strong play in their own end. They own the top defense in the Big East and one of the best in the entire country. UConn is first in the Big East in EFG%, two-point percentage, and three-point percentage. The Huskies are also third in the Big East in forcing turnovers and fourth in rebounds on the defensive glass. Just for good measure they are second in blocks and third in steals.

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Xavier snapped a 3-game skid Saturday with a 68-66 victory over DePaul. Filip Borovicanin hit the buzzer-beating jumper to defeat the Blue Demons. Xavier’s season is a study in what might have been. Gabriel Pozzato (knee) averaged 14.9 points per game was expected to lead the Xavier attack, but he has not dressed this season. The result? It has been a struggle of late for Richard Pitino’s crew. The Musketeers were smacked, 90-67, by UConn on New Year’s Eve in Cincinnati. Including that loss, Xavier is 3-6 in their last nine games. They are 0-4 on the road during that stretch.

UConn is ranked No. 10 in KenPom and No. 7 in the NET. Xavier is ranked No. 93 in KenPom and 97th in the NET.

Lets take a closer look at tonight’s matchup and take into consideration lineups, injuries, and other factors affecting the line and total.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on how to catch tipoff, odds courtesy of DraftKings recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

Game Details and How to Watch Live: Xavier at No. 3 UConn

  • Date: Tuesday, February 3, 2026

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Game Odds: Xavier at No. 3 UConn

The latest odds as of Tuesday courtesy of DraftKings:

  • Moneyline: Xavier Musketeers (-2100), UConn Huskies (+1100)

This game opened UConn -18.5 with the Total set at 146.5.

Be sure to check out DraftKings for all the latest game odds & player props for every matchup this week on the NCAA Basketball schedule!

Expected Starting Lineups: Xavier at No. 3 UConn

Xavier Musketeers

UConn Huskies

Injury Report: Xavier at No. 3 UConn

UConn Huskies

  • No injuries to report for tonight’s game

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Xavier Musketeers

  • Michael Wolf (undisclosed) is listed as questionable for tonight’s game

  • Gabriel Pozzato (knee) is listed as questionable for tonight’s game

  • Luke Naser (undisclosed) is listed as questionable for tonight’s game

  • Kason Westphal (redshirt) is OUT for tonight’s game

Important stats, trends and insights: Xavier at No. 3 UConn

  • Xavier is 11-11 ATS this season

  • UConn is 8-14 ATS this season

  • The OVER has cashed in 16 of the Musketeers’ 22 games this season (16-6)

  • The OVER has cashed in 9 of the Huskies’ 22 games this season (9-13)

  • The OVER has cashed in 8 of the last 10 games between these teams

  • With a win, the Huskies will start 12-0 in the Big East for the 1st time since starting 14-0 during the 1995-96 season

  • UConn’s offense is shooting 49.1% from deep over their last two games

  • Alex Karaban is averaging 13.5 points and 5.6 rebounds

  • Silas Demary Jr. leads the Big East with 7.1 assists per game in conference play

  • Tre Carroll is averaging 18.3 points per game and is currently 24 points shy of 1,000 career points

Rotoworld Best Bet

Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.

Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the NCAA calendar based on data points like recent performance, head-to-head player matchups, trends information and projected game totals.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projections next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

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Here are the best bets our model is projecting for tonight’s game between Xavier and No. 3 UConn:

  • Moneyline: Rotoworld Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline

  • Spread: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the Huskies -17.5 ATS

  • Total: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the Game Total OVER 147.5

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our NBA Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

  • Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)

  • Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)

  • Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)

  • Trysta Krick (@Trysta_Krick)

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